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How to Make Financial Projections for Business

Writing a solid business plan should be the first step for any business owner looking to create a successful business. 

As a small business owner, you will want to get the attention of investors, partners, or potential highly skilled employees. It is, therefore, important to have a realistic financial forecast incorporated into your business plan. 

We’ll break down a financial projection and how to utilize it to give your business the best start possible.

Key Takeaways

Accurate financial projections are essential for businesses to succeed. In this article, we’ll explain everything you need to know about creating financial projections for your business. Here’s what you need to know about financial projections:

• A financial projection is a group of financial statements that are used to forecast future performance
• Creating financial projections can break down into 5 simple steps: sales projections, expense projections, balance sheet projections, income statement projections, and cash flow projections
• Financial projections can offer huge benefits to your business, including helping with forecasting future performance, ensuring steady cash flow, and planning key moves around the growth of the business

Here’s What We’ll Cover:

What Is a Financial Projection?

How to Create a Financial Projection

What goes into a financial projection, what are financial projections used for.

Financial Projections Advantages

Frequently Asked Questions

What Is Financial Projection?

A financial projection is essentially a set of financial statements . These statements will forecast future revenues and expenses. 

Any projection includes your cash inflows and outlays, your general income, and your balance sheet. 

They are perfect for showing bankers and investors how you plan to repay business loans. They also show what you intend to do with your money and how you expect your business to grow. 

Most projections are for the first 3-5 years of business, but some include a 10-year forecast too.

Either way, you will need to develop a short and mid-term projection broken down month by month. 

As you are just starting out with your business, you won’t be expected to provide exact details. Most financial projections are rough guesses. But they should also be educated guesses based on market trends, research, and looking at similar businesses. 

It’s incredibly important for financial statements to be realistic. Most investors will be able to spot a fanciful projection from a mile away. 

In general, most people would prefer to be given realistic projections, even if they’re not as impressive.

Financial projections are created to help business owners gain insight into the future of their company’s financials. 

The question is, how to create financial projections? For business plan purposes, it’s important that you follow the best practices of financial projection closely. This will ensure you get accurate insight, which is vital for existing businesses and new business startups alike.

Here are the steps for creating accurate financial projections for your business.

1. Start With A Sales Projection

For starters, you’ll need to project how much your business will make in sales. If you’re creating a sales forecast for an existing business, you’ll have past performance records to project your next period. Past data can provide useful information for your financial projection, such as if your sales do better in one season than another.

Be sure also to consider external factors, such as the economy at large, the potential for added tariffs and taxes in the future, supply chain issues, or industry downturns. 

The process is almost the same for new businesses, only without past data to refer to. Business startups will need to do more research on their industry to gain insight into potential future sales.

2. Create Your Expense Projection

Next, create an expense projection for your business. In a sense, this is an easier task than a sales projection since it seems simpler to predict your own behaviors than your customers. However, it’s vital that you expect the unexpected.

Optimism is great, but the worst-case scenario must be considered and accounted for in your expense projection. From accidents in the workplace to natural disasters, rising trade prices, to unexpected supply disruptions, you need to consider these large expenses in your projection. 

Something always comes up, so we suggest you add a 10-15% margin on your expense projection.

3. Create Your Balance Sheet Projection

A balance sheet projection is used to get a clear look at your business’s financial position related to assets, liabilities , and equity, giving you a more holistic view of the company’s overall financial health. 

For startup businesses, this can prove to be a lot of work since you won’t have existing records of past performance to pull from. This will need to be factored into your industry research to create an accurate financial projection.

For existing businesses, it will be more straightforward. Use your past and current balance sheets to predict your business’s position in the next 1-3 years. If you use a cloud-based, online accounting software with the feature to generate balance sheets, such as the one offered by FreshBooks, you’ll be able to quickly create balance sheets for your financial projection within the app.

Click here to learn more about the features of FreshBooks accounting software.

4. Make Your Income Statement Projection

Next up, create an income statement projection. An income statement is used to declare the net income of a business after all expenses have been made. In other words, it states the profits of a business.

For currently operating businesses, you can use your past income statements and the changes between them to create accurate predictions for the next 1-3 years. You can also use accounting software to generate your income statements automatically. 

You’ll need to work on rough estimates for new businesses or those still in the planning phase. It’s vital that you stay realistic and do your utmost to create an accurate, good-faith projection of future income. 

5. Finally, Create Your Cash Flow Projection

Last but not least is to generate your projected cash flow statement. A cash flow projection forecasts the movement of all money to and from your business. It’s intertwined with a business’s balance sheet and income statement, which is no different when creating projections. 

If your business has been operating for six months or more, you can create a fairly accurate cash flow projection with your past cash flow financial statements. For new businesses, you’ll need to factor in this step of creating a financial forecast when doing your industry research. 

It needs to include five elements to ensure an accurate, useful financial forecast for your business. These financial statements come together to provide greater insight into the projected future of a business’s financial health. These include:

Income Statement

A standard income statement summarizes your company’s revenues and expenses over a period. This is normally done either quarterly or annually.

The income statement is where you will do the bulk of your forecasting. 

On any income statement, you’re likely to find the following:

• Revenue: Your revenue earned through sales. 
• Expenses: The amount you’ve spent, including your product costs and your overheads.
• Pre-Tax Earnings: This is your income before you’ve paid tax.
• Net Income: The total revenues minus your total expenses. 

Net income is the most important number. If the number is positive, then you’re earning a profit, if it’s negative, it means your expenses outweigh your revenue and you’re making a loss. 

Cash Flow Statement

Your cash flow statement will show any potential investor whether you are a good credit risk. It also shows them if you can successfully repay any loans you are granted.

You can break a cash flow statement into three parts:

• Cash Revenues: An overview of your calculated cash sales for a given time period. 
• Cash Disbursements: You list all the cash expenditures you expect to pay.
• Net Cash Revenue: Take the cash revenues minus your cash disbursements.

Balance Sheet

Your balance sheet will show your business’s net worth at a given time.

A balance sheet is split up into three different sections:

• Assets: An asset is a tangible object of value that your company owns. It could be things like stock or property such as warehouses or offices. 
• Liabilities: These are any debts your business owes.
• Equity: Your equity is the summary of your assets minus your liabilities.

Looking for an easy-to-use yet capable online accounting software? FreshBooks accounting software is a cloud-based solution that makes financial projections simple. With countless financial reporting features and detailed guides on creating accurate financial forecasts, FreshBooks can help you gain the insight you need to let your business thrive. Click here to give FreshBooks a try for free.

Financial projections have many uses for current business owners and startup entrepreneurs. Provided your financial forecasting follows the best practices for an accurate projection, your data will be used for:

• Internal planning and budgeting – Your finances will be the main factor in whether or not you’ll be able to execute your business plan to completion. Financial projections allow you to make it happen.
• Attracting investors and securing funding – Whether you’re receiving financing from bank loans, investors, or both, an accurate projection will be essential in receiving the funds you need.
• Evaluating business performance and identifying areas for improvement – Financial projections help you keep track of your business’s financial health, allowing you to plan ahead and avoid unwelcome surprises.
• Making strategic business decisions – Timing is important in business, especially when it comes to major expenditures (new product rollouts, large-scale marketing, expansion, etc.). Financial projections allow you to make an informed strategy for these big decisions.

Financial Projections Advantages 

Creating clear financial projections for your business startup or existing company has countless benefits. Focusing on creating (and maintaining) good financial forecasting for your business will:

• Help you make vital financial decisions for the business in the future
• Help you plan and strategize for growth and expansion
• Demonstrate to bankers how you will repay your loans 
• Demonstrate to investors how you will repay financing
• Identify your most essential financing needs in the future
• Assist in fine-tuning your pricing
• Be helpful when strategizing your production plan
• Be a useful tool for planning your major expenditures strategically
• Help you keep an eye on your cash flow for the future

Your financial forecast is an essential part of your business plan, whether you’re still in the early startup phases or already running an established business. However, it’s vital that you follow the best practices laid out above to ensure you receive the full benefits of comprehensive financial forecasting.  

If you’re looking for a useful tool to save time on the administrative tasks of financial forecasting, FreshBooks can help. With the ability to instantly generate the reports you need and get a birds-eye-view of your business’s past performance and overall financial help, it will be easier to create useful financial projections that provide insight into your financial future. 

FAQs on Financial Projections

More questions about financial forecasting, projections, and how these processes fit into your business plan? Here are some frequently asked questions by business owners.

Why are financial projections important?

Financial projections allow you to gain insight into your business’s economic trajectory. This helps business owners make financial decisions, secure funding, and more. Additionally, financial projections provide early warning of roadblocks and challenges that may lay ahead for the company, making it easier to plan for a clear course of action.

What is an example of a financial projection?

A projection is an overall look at a business’s forecasted performance. It’s made up of several different statements and reports, such as a cash flow statement, income statement, profit and loss statement, and sales statement. You can find free templates and examples of many of these reports via FreshBooks. Click here to view our selection of accounting templates.

Are financial forecasts and financial projections the same?

Technically, there is a difference between forecasting and projections, though many use the terms interchangeably. Financial forecasting often refers to shorter-term (<1 year) predictions of financial performance, while financial projections usually focus on a larger time scale (2-3 years).

What is the most widely used method for financial forecasting?

The most common method of accurate forecasting is the straight-line forecasting method. It’s most often used for projecting the growth of a business’s revenue growth over a set period. If you notice that your records indicate a 4% growth of revenue per year for five years running, it would be reasonable to assume that this will continue year-over-year. 

What is the purpose of a financial projection?

Projection aims to get deeper, more nuanced insight into a business’s financial health and viability. It allows business owners to anticipate expenses and profit growth, giving them the tools to secure funding and loans and strategize major business decisions. It’s an essential accounting process that all business owners should prioritize in their business plans.

Michelle Alexander, CPA

About the author

Michelle Alexander is a CPA and implementation consultant for Artificial Intelligence-powered financial risk discovery technology. She has a Master's of Professional Accounting from the University of Saskatchewan, and has worked in external audit compliance and various finance roles for Government and Big 4. In her spare time you’ll find her traveling the world, shopping for antique jewelry, and painting watercolour floral arrangements.

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How to create and write financial projections for a business plan: step-by-step guide.

If you're writing a business plan, one of the most important sections you'll need to create is the financial projections . Financial projections are essential for demonstrating to lenders, investors, or other stakeholders that your business is financially viable. A well-prepared financial section not only makes your business plan complete, but it also gives you a roadmap for managing your business in the coming years.

In this blog post, we’ll walk you through how to write financial projections for a business plan , step-by-step. We’ll cover everything from revenue forecasts , cost of goods sold (COGS) , operating expenses , cash flow projections , and profit and loss statements , to break-even analysis . Throughout this guide, we’ll also embed some of the most searched SEO long-tail keywords related to financial projections and business plans to help drive traffic and visibility for your website.

By the end of this article, you’ll have the knowledge needed to create accurate financial projections, but if you want to save time and ensure accuracy, consider purchasing one of our already used and funded business plans . These come complete with financial projections that have been tested and proven successful.

What Are Financial Projections?

Before diving into the specifics of how to create your projections, it’s important to understand what financial projections are. Financial projections are estimates of how much money your business will make and spend in the future. They are based on your current financial data , market research , and educated guesses about the future performance of your business. The typical timeframe for financial projections is three to five years.

For new businesses, financial projections are a key tool to estimate startup costs , revenues , and expenses . They also help business owners understand how much capital they will need to launch and grow their operations. For established businesses, projections are used to track financial health and forecast future growth.

Why Are Financial Projections Important?

The financial projection section of your business plan is one of the most scrutinized sections by lenders and investors. It shows that you have done your homework and have a clear understanding of your business’s financial future . Good financial projections will help you:

• Secure funding from investors or lenders
• Determine your break-even point
• Guide decision-making for future growth
• Plan for the unexpected by creating contingency plans

If writing these projections seems overwhelming, don’t worry. We'll break down every part of the financial section, and by the end of this post, you’ll have a clear understanding of how to create financial projections for your business plan.

Step-by-Step Guide to Writing Financial Projections

Now, let’s walk through the step-by-step process of writing the financial projections section of your business plan . This includes revenue projections , cost of goods sold (COGS) , operating expenses , cash flow projections , profit and loss statements , and break-even analysis .

1. Revenue Projections: Estimating Your Income

The first step in writing financial projections is to estimate your revenue . This is a forecast of how much money your business will generate from sales. For startups, estimating revenue can be tricky, but it’s important to make educated guesses based on market research, competitor performance, and your business model.

Identify Revenue Streams : Start by identifying all potential revenue streams. For example, if you’re starting a copier and fax store , you might have revenue from copying services , faxing , and office supplies sales.

Estimate Sales Volume : How many units or services do you expect to sell in a month or a year? For example, if you offer commercial fax and copy services , estimate how many customers will use your services regularly.

Set Prices : Assign prices to each of your products or services. It’s crucial to set a competitive price by considering market research and the prices charged by your competitors.

Calculate Revenue : Multiply the estimated number of units sold by the price per unit. This gives you a total revenue estimate for a given period, typically monthly and yearly.

Example of Revenue Projection:

• Product : Copying Services
• Units Sold per Month : 2,000 copies
• Price per Unit : $0.25
• Monthly Revenue : 2,000 x $0.25 = $500
• Annual Revenue : $500 x 12 = $6,000

2. Cost of Goods Sold (COGS): Calculating Direct Costs

The next step is to calculate your cost of goods sold (COGS) . This represents the direct costs associated with producing your product or delivering your service. In other words, COGS are the expenses that vary depending on how much you sell.

For example, in a fax and copy service , COGS might include the cost of paper, toner, and maintenance for your copy machines .

Identify Direct Costs : List all direct costs related to producing your product or service. For instance, a copier and faxing business would have costs for ink, paper, and machine upkeep.

Calculate COGS per Unit : Divide the total cost of goods by the number of units sold. This will give you the COGS per unit .

Total COGS : Multiply the COGS per unit by the total number of units sold.

Example of COGS Calculation:

• COGS per Copy : $0.05 (including paper, ink, and machine maintenance)
• Monthly COGS : 2,000 x $0.05 = $100
• Annual COGS : $100 x 12 = $1,200

By understanding your COGS, you can better price your products and determine your overall profitability.

3. Operating Expenses (OPEX): Accounting for Overheads

Operating expenses (OPEX) are the costs incurred in the day-to-day running of your business. Unlike COGS, these expenses remain relatively constant regardless of your sales volume. OPEX includes things like rent, utilities, salaries, and marketing costs .

List Fixed and Variable Costs : Begin by listing your fixed expenses (like rent and salaries) and your variable expenses (like utilities and marketing). If you’re operating a small business copier and fax service , your fixed costs might include equipment leasing fees, while your variable costs might include marketing efforts and promotional discounts.

Estimate Monthly and Annual OPEX : Add up your monthly operating expenses, then multiply by 12 to get your annual operating costs.

Plan for Unexpected Costs : Include a small percentage for contingencies, as there are always unexpected expenses in any business.

Example of Operating Expenses:

• Rent : $1,000 per month
• Utilities : $200 per month
• Salaries : $3,500 per month
• Marketing : $500 per month
• Monthly OPEX : $1,000 + $200 + $3,500 + $500 = $5,200
• Annual OPEX : $5,200 x 12 = $62,400

By accurately calculating your OPEX, you’ll know how much money you need to cover day-to-day operations.

4. Cash Flow Projections: Managing Cash Inflows and Outflows

A cash flow projection is an estimate of how much money your business will bring in and spend over a certain period. It's critical to track cash inflows (like revenue) and cash outflows (like expenses) to ensure you always have enough money to cover your operating costs.

Estimate Cash Inflows : Your cash inflows include your revenue from sales, loans, or other forms of income.

Estimate Cash Outflows : Outflows are your operating expenses, debt payments, and other financial obligations.

Adjust for Seasonal Fluctuations : If your business is seasonal, be sure to account for changes in sales volume during peak and off-peak months.

Example of Cash Flow Projection:

• Monthly Inflow : $6,000
• Monthly Outflow : $5,200
• Net Cash Flow : $6,000 - $5,200 = $800

5. Profit and Loss Statement: Measuring Profitability

The profit and loss statement (P&L) is the most important part of your financial projections. It summarizes your revenue, COGS, and operating expenses to show whether your business is making a profit or a loss over a specific time period.

Calculate Gross Profit : Subtract your COGS from your total revenue. This gives you your gross profit .

Subtract Operating Expenses : Once you’ve calculated your gross profit, subtract your operating expenses to determine your net profit .

Example of Profit and Loss Statement:

• Revenue : $6,000
• COGS : $1,200
• Gross Profit : $6,000 - $1,200 = $4,800
• Operating Expenses : $5,200
• Net Loss : $4,800 - $5,200 = -$400

This statement helps you understand how well your business is performing financially and whether adjustments are needed.

6. Break-Even Analysis: Knowing When You’ll Be Profitable

A break-even analysis shows you how much revenue you need to cover your costs. This is important because it tells you the minimum amount of sales needed to avoid a loss.

Calculate Fixed Costs : Start by adding up your total fixed costs , such as rent and salaries.

Determine Contribution Margin : Your contribution margin is the difference between your sales price and the cost to produce the product (COGS).

Calculate Break-Even Point : Divide your fixed costs by your contribution margin to find the number of units you need to sell to break even.

Example of Break-Even Analysis:

• Fixed Costs : $5,200
• Contribution Margin : $0.20 per unit
• Break-Even Point : $5,200 / $0.20 = 26,000 units

Knowing your break-even point helps you set sales targets and pricing strategies to ensure profitability.

Conclusion: Save Time by Purchasing a Ready-to-Use Business Plan

Creating financial projections can be time-consuming and challenging, but they are crucial for building a strong business plan. By following the steps outlined in this guide, you can write accurate and professional financial projections that will help you secure funding and manage your business effectively.

However, if you want to save time and avoid the hassle of writing your own financial projections, consider purchasing one of our already used and funded business plans . These plans come complete with financial projections, startup costs, cash flow statements, and break-even analysis—everything you need to get started immediately.

Let us help you get your business off the ground with a plan that’s been tested and proven to work. Visit our website and purchase your Copier & Fax Store Business Plan or any other industry-specific plan today!

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Financial Forecast in a Business Plan

Written by True Tamplin, BSc, CEPF®

Reviewed by subject matter experts.

Updated on September 12, 2024

Are You Retirement Ready?

Table of contents, what is a financial forecast in a business plan.

A financial forecast in a business plan is a projection of the expected financial performance of a company over a specific period, often annually or quarterly. It provides insights into anticipated revenues, expenses, capital investments, and cash flows.

Rooted in both historical data and assumptions about future market conditions, this forecast helps stakeholders, including investors, lenders, and company leaders, gauge the business's potential profitability and financial health.

By comparing actual financial results with the forecast, businesses can identify gaps, make informed decisions, and adjust strategies accordingly.

Moreover, a well-constructed financial forecast demonstrates the company's understanding of its market and adds credibility to the business plan, increasing the likelihood of securing investments or loans.

In essence, it's a vital tool for planning, budgeting, and ensuring that a business remains on a sustainable financial trajectory.

Components of a Financial Forecast in a Business Plan

Sales and revenue forecast.

Businesses thrive on sales. Projecting future sales provides a cornerstone to any financial forecast. By analyzing market trends, past sales data, and growth strategies, businesses can predict revenue inflows.

This, in turn, dictates everything from inventory purchases to hiring strategies. In the ever-evolving marketplace, an accurate sales forecast is integral for optimal resource allocation and to prevent overhead costs that can cripple an enterprise.

Expense Forecast

As businesses strategize for growth, understanding expenditures becomes crucial. These can be both fixed, like rents and salaries, and variable, such as utility bills or raw material costs.

External factors like inflation, geopolitical scenarios, and supply chain disruptions can also influence business expenses. Therefore, an accurate expense forecast not only ensures sustainability but also charts out profitability margins.

Profit and Loss Statement (P&L Forecast)

Herein lies the essence of any business—profits. The P&L forecast provides a clear picture of the company's anticipated net profit or loss over a set period.

Distinguishing between gross profit, operational profit, and net profit helps streamline operations and understand where the bulk of revenues or costs stem from. A keen eye on this forecast can lead to timely interventions, ensuring financial stability.

Cash Flow Forecast

Cash is the lifeblood of a business. The cash flow forecast paints a picture of a business's liquidity by tracking both incoming and outgoing cash.

A well-managed cash flow ensures operational sustainability. A business might be profitable on paper, but if it lacks the liquidity to manage its immediate expenses, it can face significant hurdles.

Balance Sheet Forecast

A forward-looking balance sheet gives stakeholders a snapshot of a company's projected financial health, encompassing assets, liabilities, and owner’s equity.

Regularly updating and reviewing the balance sheet forecast can assist businesses in making informed financial decisions, whether it's taking on debt or making significant investments.

Capital Expenditure Forecast

For businesses looking towards expansion or major investments, the capital expenditure forecast is indispensable. It involves predictions related to expenses on assets that will benefit the business in the long run, like machinery, buildings, or technology.

Crucially, evaluating the potential return on these investments ensures that they generate value over time.

Importance of Financial Forecast in a Business Plan

Guide business strategies.

Financial forecasts are not just passive documents; they drive action. The insights derived from these forecasts shape a company's tactical and strategic decisions, ensuring alignment with financial expectations and goals.

Secure External Funding

For startups or businesses looking to expand, external funding often becomes essential. A robust financial forecast showcases the business's potential to prospective investors or lenders, bolstering its credibility and signaling its viability.

Risk Management

Financial projections serve as an early warning system. They highlight potential financial pitfalls, allowing businesses to devise countermeasures.

Whether it's diversifying sources of income, cutting down on non-essential expenses, or hedging against market volatility, these forecasts empower businesses to navigate challenges proactively.

Monitor Business Health

By juxtaposing actual financial outcomes with forecasts, businesses can gauge their performance. Discrepancies can lead to course corrections, ensuring that the business remains aligned with its broader financial and operational objectives.

Methods and Tools for Creating a Financial Forecast in a Business Plan

Quantitative methods.

Numbers often tell a compelling story. Time series analysis, econometric models, and other statistical tools provide a quantitative means to chart out a business's future. These rely heavily on historical data and established market trends to make informed predictions.

Qualitative Methods

Sometimes, numbers need a human touch. Techniques like the Delphi method or expert judgment pool insights from professionals to make predictions, especially when historical data might not be a reliable indicator.

While these methods might lack the objective precision of quantitative models, they provide valuable subjective insights, especially in rapidly evolving industries.

Modern Forecasting Tools

The digital age has democratized forecasting. Several software solutions, from simplistic spreadsheet templates to sophisticated AI-driven models, empower businesses to automate their financial forecasting processes.

Integration capabilities, real-time data processing, and advanced analytics further enhance their efficacy.

Challenges of Financial Forecast in a Business Plan

External economic factors.

While businesses can control their operations, external factors often remain unpredictable. Market volatilities, geopolitical events, or global crises can disrupt even the most meticulous forecasts, underscoring the importance of adaptability.

Internal Business Changes

Organizational restructuring, strategy pivots, or product launches can significantly alter a company's financial trajectory. Such internal changes necessitate regular revisions of the financial forecast to ensure it remains reflective of the business's evolving landscape.

Inherent Uncertainty

The future remains, by nature, uncertain. Even the most sophisticated forecasting models rely on assumptions and estimates.

Recognizing this inherent unpredictability, businesses should adopt a flexible approach, regularly revisiting their forecasts and adjusting them in light of new data or changing circumstances.

A financial forecast in a business plan is an indispensable tool that projects a company's future financial performance, derived from both historical data and future assumptions.

Essential components include sales and revenue predictions, expense projections, and comprehensive statements like the P&L and balance sheet forecasts.

The objective is not just to track figures but to guide strategy, secure funding, manage risks, and constantly monitor the company's financial health.

While modern tools and quantitative methods provide precision, qualitative insights capture the nuances of rapidly changing industries.

Challenges like external economic shifts, internal business alterations, and the inherent uncertainty of predicting the future underline the importance of flexibility and adaptability.

In essence, a robust financial forecast not only charts a course for a company's growth but also ensures it remains agile in the face of both expected and unforeseen challenges.

Financial Forecast in a Business Plan FAQs

Why is a financial forecast in a business plan crucial for startups.

A Financial Forecast in a Business Plan helps startups anticipate revenues and expenses, allowing them to strategize operations, secure funding, and ensure financial sustainability from the onset.

How often should a company update its Financial Forecast in a Business Plan?

While the frequency may vary depending on the industry and market dynamics, it's generally recommended to revisit and update the Financial Forecast in a Business Plan at least annually or when significant internal or external changes occur.

Can I create a Financial Forecast in a Business Plan without prior financial data?

Yes, startups and new businesses often rely on industry benchmarks, market research, and qualitative methods to create a Financial Forecast in a Business Plan, even without historical financial data.

How accurate is the Financial Forecast in a Business Plan?

While every effort is made to ensure accuracy, a Financial Forecast in a Business Plan is based on assumptions, projections, and available data. External factors and unforeseen changes can affect outcomes, making it essential to revisit and adjust forecasts regularly.

What tools can I use to automate the Financial Forecast in a Business Plan?

There are various software solutions, ranging from spreadsheet templates to sophisticated AI-driven platforms, designed to help businesses automate and enhance the accuracy of their Financial Forecast in a Business.

About the Author

True Tamplin, BSc, CEPF®

True Tamplin is a published author, public speaker, CEO of UpDigital, and founder of Finance Strategists.

True is a Certified Educator in Personal Finance (CEPF®), author of The Handy Financial Ratios Guide , a member of the Society for Advancing Business Editing and Writing, contributes to his financial education site, Finance Strategists, and has spoken to various financial communities such as the CFA Institute, as well as university students like his Alma mater, Biola University , where he received a bachelor of science in business and data analytics.

To learn more about True, visit his personal website or view his author profiles on Amazon , Nasdaq and Forbes .

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How to Create Financial Projections for Your Business Plan

Written by Dave Lavinsky

Financial projections, also known as financial models, are forecasts of your company’s expected financial performance, typically over the next 5 years.

Over the past 25+ years, we’ve created financial projections for thousands of startups and existing businesses. In doing so, we’ve found 3 key reasons why financial projections are important:

• They help you determine the viability of your new business ideas and/or your need to make modifications to them. For instance, if your initial financial projections show your business idea isn’t profitable, you’ll know that changes are needed (e.g., raising prices, serving new markets, figuring out how to reduce costs, etc.) to make it viable.
• They are crucial for raising funding. Lenders will always review your financial projections to ensure you can comfortably repay any business loans they issue you. Equity investors will nearly always review your projections in determining whether they can achieve their desired return on their investment in your business.
• They help keep your business financially on track by giving you goals. For instance, if your financial projections state your company should generate 100 new clients this year, and the year is halfway done and you’re only at 30 clients, you’ll know you need to readjust your strategy to achieve your goals.

In the remainder of this article, you’ll learn more about financial projections, how to complete them, and how to incorporate them in your business plan.

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What are Financial Projections?

Financial projections are financial forecasts or estimations of your company’s future revenues and expenses, serving as a crucial part of business planning. To complete them you must develop multiple assumptions with regards to items like future sales volumes, employee headcount and the cost of supplies and other expenses. Creating financial projections helps you develop better strategies to grow your business.

Your financial projections will be the most analyzed part of your business plan by investors and/or banks. While never a precise prediction of future performance, an excellent financial model outlines the core assumptions of your business and helps you and others evaluate capital requirements, risks involved, and rewards that successful execution will deliver.

Having a solid framework in place also will help you compare your performance to the financial projections and evaluate how your business is progressing. If your performance is behind your projections, you will have a framework in place to assess the effects of lowering costs, increasing prices, or even reimagining your model. In the happy case that you exceed your business projections, you can use your framework to plan for accelerated growth, new hires, or additional expansion investments.

Hence, the use of accurate financial projections is multi-fold and crucial for the success of any business. Your financial projections should include three core financial statements – the income statement, the cash flow statement, and the balance sheet. The following section explains each statement in detail.

Necessary Financial Statements

The three financial statements are the income statement, the cash flow statement, and the balance sheet. You will learn how to create each one in detail below.  

Income Statement Projection

The projected income statement is also referred to as a profit and loss statement and showcases your business’s revenues and expenses for a specific period.

To create an income statement, you first will need to chart out a sales forecast by taking realistic estimates of units sold and multiplying them by price per unit to arrive at a total sales number. Then, estimate the cost of these units and multiply them by the number of units to get the cost of sales. Finally, calculate your gross margin by subtracting the cost of sales from your sales.

Once you have calculated your gross margin, deduct items like wages, rent, marketing costs, and other expenses that you plan to pay to facilitate your business’s operations. The resulting total represents your projected operating income, which is a critical business metric.

Plan to create an income statement monthly until your projected break-even, or the point at which future revenues outpace total expenses, and you reflect operating profit. From there, annual income statements will suffice.

Sample Income Statement

Consider a sample income statement for a retail store below:

Cash Flow Projection

As the name indicates, a cash flow statement shows the cash flowing in and out of your business. The cash flow statement incorporates cash from business operations and includes cash inflows and outflows from investment and financing activities to deliver a holistic cash picture of your company.

Investment activities include purchasing land or equipment or research & development activities that aren’t necessarily part of daily operations. Cash movements due to financing activities include cash flowing in a business through investors and/or banks and cash flowing out due to debt repayment or distributions made to shareholders.

You should total all these three components of a cash flow projection for any specified period to arrive at a total ending cash balance. Constructing solid cash flow projections will ensure you anticipate capital needs to carry the business to a place of sustainable operations.

Sample Cash Flow Statement

Below is a simple cash flow statement for the same retail store:

Balance Sheet Projections

A balance sheet shows your company’s assets, liabilities, and owner’s equity for a certain period and provides a snapshot in time of your business performance. Assets include things of value that the business owns, such as inventory, capital, and land. Liabilities, on the other hand, are legally bound commitments like payables for goods or services rendered and debt. Finally, owner’s equity refers to the amount that is remaining once liabilities are paid off. Assets must total – or balance – liabilities and equity.

Your startup financial documents should include annual balance sheets that show the changing balance of assets, liabilities, and equity as the business progresses. Ideally, that progression shows a reduction in liabilities and an increase in equity over time.

While constructing these varied business projections, remember to be flexible. You likely will need to go back and forth between the different financial statements since working on one will necessitate changes to the others.

Sample Balance Sheet

Below is a simple balance sheet for the retail store:

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How to Create Financial Projections

When it comes to financial forecasting, simplicity is key. Making financial projections does not have to be overly sophisticated and complicated to impress, and convoluted projections likely will have the opposite effect on potential investors. Keep your tables and graphs simple and fill them with credible or historical data that inspires confidence in your plan and vision. The below tips will help bolster your financial projections.    

Create a List of Assumptions

Your financial projections should be tied to a list of assumptions. For example, one assumption will be the initial monthly cash sales you achieve. Another assumption will be your monthly growth rate. As you can imagine, changing either of these assumptions will significantly impact your financial projections.

As a result, tie your income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statements to your assumptions. That way, if you change your assumptions, all of your financial projections automatically update.

Below are the key assumptions to include in your financial model:

For EACH essential product or service you offer:

• What is the number of units you expect to sell each month?
• What is your expected monthly sales growth rate?
• What is the average price that you will charge per product or service unit sold?
• How much do you expect to raise your prices each year?
• How much does it cost you to produce or deliver each unit sold?
• How much (if at all) do you expect your direct product costs to grow each year?

For EACH subscription/membership, you offer:

• What is the monthly/quarterly/annual price of your membership?
• How many members do you have now, or how many members do you expect to gain in the first month/quarter/year?
• What is your projected monthly/quarterly/annual growth rate in the number of members?
• What is your projected monthly/quarterly/annual member churn (the percentage of members that will cancel each month/quarter/year)?
• What is the average monthly/quarterly/annual direct cost to serve each member (if applicable)?

Cost Assumptions

• What is your monthly salary? What is the annual growth rate in your salary?
• What is your monthly salary for the rest of your team? What is the expected annual growth rate in your team’s salaries?
• What is your initial monthly marketing expense? What is the expected annual growth rate in your marketing expense?
• What is your initial monthly rent + utility expense? What is the expected annual growth rate in your rent + utility expense?
• What is your initial monthly insurance expense? What is the expected annual growth rate in your insurance expense?
• What is your initial monthly office supplies expense? What is the expected annual growth rate in your office supplies expense?
• What is your initial monthly cost for “other” expenses? What is the expected annual growth rate in your “other” expenses?

Capital Expenditures, Funding, Tax, and Balance Sheet Items

• How much money do you need for Capital Expenditures in your first year  (to buy computers, desks, equipment, space build-out, etc.)?
• How much other funding do you need right now?
• What percent of the funding will be financed by Debt (versus equity)?
• What Corporate Tax Rate would you like to apply to company profits?
• What is your Current Liabilities Turnover (in the number of days)?
• What are your Current Assets, excluding cash (in the number of days)?
• What is your Depreciation rate?
• What is your Amortization number of Years?
• What is the number of years in which your debt (loan) must be paid back?
• What is your Debt Payback interest rate?

Create Two Financial Projection Scenarios

It would be best if you used your assumptions to create two sets of clear financial projections that exhibit two very different scenarios. One is your best-case scenario, and the other is your worst-case. Investors are usually very interested in how a business plan will play out in both these scenarios, allowing them to better analyze the robustness and potential profitability of a business.    

Conduct a Ratio Analysis

Gain an understanding of average industry financial ratios, including operating ratios, profitability ratios, return on investment ratios, and the like. You can then compare your own estimates with these existing ratios to evaluate costs you may have overlooked or find historical financial data to support your projected performance. This ratio analysis helps ensure your financial projections are neither excessively optimistic nor excessively pessimistic.  

Be Realistic

It is easy to get carried away when dealing with estimates and you end up with very optimistic financial projections that will feel untenable to an objective audience. Investors are quick to notice and question inflated figures. Rather than excite investors, such scenarios will compromise your legitimacy.  

Create Multi-Year Financial Projections

The first year of your financial projections should be presented on a granular, monthly basis. For subsequent years, annual projections will suffice. It is advised to have three- or five-year projections ready when you start attracting investors. Since your plan needs to be succinct, you can add yearly projections as appendices to your main plan.

You should now know how to create financial projections for your business plan. In addition to creating your full projections as their own document, you will need to insert your financial projections into your plan. In your executive summary, Insert your topline projections, that is, just your sales, gross margins, recurring expenses, EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization), and net income). In the financial plan section of your plan, insert your key assumptions and a little more detail than your topline projections. Include your full financial model in the appendix of your plan.

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How To Create Financial Projections for Your Business

Learn how to anticipate your business’s financial performance

• Understanding Financial Projections & Forecasting

Why Forecasting Is Critical for Your Business

Key financial statements for forecasting, how to create your financial projections, frequently asked questions (faqs).

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Just like a weather forecast lets you know that wearing closed-toe shoes will be important for that afternoon downpour later, a good financial forecast allows you to better anticipate financial highs and lows for your business.

Neglecting to compile financial projections for your business may signal to investors that you’re unprepared for the future, which may cause you to lose out on funding opportunities.

Read on to learn more about financial projections, how to compile and use them in a business plan, and why they can be crucial for every business owner.

Key Takeaways

• Financial forecasting is a projection of your business's future revenues and expenses based on comparative data analysis, industry research, and more.
• Financial projections are a valuable tool for entrepreneurs as they offer insight into a business's ability to generate profit, increase cash flow, and repay debts, which can be attractive to investors.
• Some of the key components to include in a financial projection include a sales projection, break-even analysis, and pro forma balance sheet and income statement.
• A financial projection can not only attract investors, but helps business owners anticipate fixed costs, find a break-even point, and prepare for the unexpected.

Understanding Financial Projections and Forecasting

Financial forecasting is an educated estimate of future revenues and expenses that involves comparative analysis to get a snapshot of what could happen in your business’s future.

This process helps in making predictions about future business performance based on current financial information, industry trends, and economic conditions. Financial forecasting also helps businesses make decisions about investments, financing sources, inventory management, cost control strategies, and even whether to move into another market.

Developing both short- and mid-term projections is usually necessary to help you determine immediate production and personnel needs as well as future resource requirements for raw materials, equipment, and machinery.

Financial projections are a valuable tool for entrepreneurs as they offer insight into a business's ability to generate profit, increase cash flow, and repay debts. They can also be used to make informed decisions about the business’s plans. Creating an accurate, adaptive financial projection for your business offers many benefits, including:

• Attracting investors and convincing them to fund your business
• Anticipating problems before they arise
• Visualizing your small-business objectives and budgets
• Demonstrating how you will repay small-business loans
• Planning for more significant business expenses
• Showing business growth potential
• Helping with proper pricing and production planning

Financial forecasting is essentially predicting the revenue and expenses for a business venture. Whether your business is new or established, forecasting can play a vital role in helping you plan for the future and budget your funds.

Creating financial projections may be a necessary exercise for many businesses, particularly those that do not have sufficient cash flow or need to rely on customer credit to maintain operations. Compiling financial information, knowing your market, and understanding what your potential investors are looking for can enable you to make intelligent decisions about your assets and resources.

The income statement, balance sheet, and statement of cash flow are three key financial reports needed for forecasting that can also provide analysts with crucial information about a business's financial health. Here is a closer look at each.

Income Statement

An income statement, also known as a profit and loss statement or P&L, is a financial document that provides an overview of an organization's revenues, expenses, and net income.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is a snapshot of the business's assets and liabilities at a certain point in time. Sometimes referred to as the “financial portrait” of a business, the balance sheet provides an overview of how much money the business has, what it owes, and its net worth.

The assets side of the balance sheet includes what the business owns as well as future ownership items. The other side of the sheet includes liabilities and equity, which represent what it owes or what others owe to the business.

A balance sheet that shows hypothetical calculations and future financial projections is also referred to as a “pro forma” balance sheet.

Cash Flow Statement

A cash flow statement monitors the business’s inflows and outflows—both cash and non-cash. Cash flow is the business’s projected earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization ( EBITDA ) minus capital investments.

Here's how to compile your financial projections and fit the results into the three above statements.

A financial projections spreadsheet for your business should include these metrics and figures:

• Sales forecast
• Balance sheet
• Operating expenses
• Payroll expenses (if applicable)
• Amortization and depreciation
• Cash flow statement
• Income statement
• Cost of goods sold (COGS)
• Break-even analysis

Here are key steps to account for creating your financial projections.

Projecting Sales

The first step for a financial forecast starts with projecting your business’s sales, which are typically derived from past revenue as well as industry research. These projections allow businesses to understand what their risks are and how much they will need in terms of staffing, resources, and funding.

Sales forecasts also enable businesses to decide on important levels such as product variety, price points, and inventory capacity.

Income Statement Calculations

A projected income statement shows how much you expect in revenue and profit—as well as your estimated expenses and losses—over a specific time in the future. Like a standard income statement, elements on a projection include revenue, COGS, and expenses that you’ll calculate to determine figures such as the business’s gross profit margin and net income.

If you’re developing a hypothetical, or pro forma, income statement, you can use historical data from previous years’ income statements. You can also do a comparative analysis of two different income statement periods to come up with your figures.

Anticipate Fixed Costs

Fixed business costs are expenses that do not change based on the number of products sold. The best way to anticipate fixed business costs is to research your industry and prepare a budget using actual numbers from competitors in the industry. Anticipating fixed costs ensures your business doesn’t overpay for its needs and balances out its variable costs. A few examples of fixed business costs include:

• Rent or mortgage payments
• Operating expenses (also called selling, general and administrative expenses or SG&A)
• Utility bills
• Insurance premiums

Unfortunately, it might not be possible to predict accurately how much your fixed costs will change in a year due to variables such as inflation, property, and interest rates. It’s best to slightly overestimate fixed costs just in case you need to account for these potential fluctuations.

Find Your Break-Even Point

The break-even point (BEP) is the number at which a business has the same expenses as its revenue. In other words, it occurs when your operations generate enough revenue to cover all of your business’s costs and expenses. The BEP will differ depending on the type of business, market conditions, and other factors.

To find this number, you need to determine two things: your fixed costs and variable costs. Once you have these figures, you can find your BEP using this formula:

Break-even point = fixed expenses ➗ 1 – (variable expenses ➗ sales)

The BEP is an essential consideration for any projection because it is the point at which total revenue from a project equals total cost. This makes it the point of either profit or loss.

Plan for the Unexpected

It is necessary to have the proper financial safeguards in place to prepare for any unanticipated costs. A sudden vehicle repair, a leaky roof, or broken equipment can quickly derail your budget if you aren't prepared. Cash management is a financial management plan that ensures a business has enough cash on hand to maintain operations and meet short-term obligations.

To maintain cash reserves, you can apply for overdraft protection or an overdraft line of credit. Overdraft protection can be set up by a bank or credit card business and provides short-term loans if the account balance falls below zero. On the other hand, a line of credit is an agreement with a lending institution in which they provide you with an unsecured loan at any time until your balance reaches zero again.

How do you make financial projections for startups?

Financial projections for startups can be hard to complete. Historical financial data may not be available. Find someone with financial projections experience to give insight on risks and outcomes.

Consider business forecasting, too, which incorporates assumptions about the exponential growth of your business.

Startups can also benefit from using EBITDA to get a better look at potential cash flow.

What are the benefits associated with forecasting business finances?

Forecasting can be beneficial for businesses in many ways, including:

• Providing better understanding of your business cash flow
• Easing the process of planning and budgeting for the future based on income
• Improving decision-making
• Providing valuable insight into what's in their future
• Making decisions on how to best allocate resources for success

How many years should your financial forecast be?

Your financial forecast should either be projected over a specific time period or projected into perpetuity. There are various methods for determining how long a financial forecasting projection should go out, but many businesses use one to five years as a standard timeframe.

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