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• Null and Alternative Hypotheses | Definitions & Examples

Null & Alternative Hypotheses | Definitions, Templates & Examples

Published on May 6, 2022 by Shaun Turney . Revised on June 22, 2023.

The null and alternative hypotheses are two competing claims that researchers weigh evidence for and against using a statistical test :

• Null hypothesis ( H 0 ): There’s no effect in the population .
• Alternative hypothesis ( H a or H 1 ) : There’s an effect in the population.

Table of contents

Answering your research question with hypotheses, what is a null hypothesis, what is an alternative hypothesis, similarities and differences between null and alternative hypotheses, how to write null and alternative hypotheses, other interesting articles, frequently asked questions.

The null and alternative hypotheses offer competing answers to your research question . When the research question asks “Does the independent variable affect the dependent variable?”:

• The null hypothesis ( H 0 ) answers “No, there’s no effect in the population.”
• The alternative hypothesis ( H a ) answers “Yes, there is an effect in the population.”

The null and alternative are always claims about the population. That’s because the goal of hypothesis testing is to make inferences about a population based on a sample . Often, we infer whether there’s an effect in the population by looking at differences between groups or relationships between variables in the sample. It’s critical for your research to write strong hypotheses .

You can use a statistical test to decide whether the evidence favors the null or alternative hypothesis. Each type of statistical test comes with a specific way of phrasing the null and alternative hypothesis. However, the hypotheses can also be phrased in a general way that applies to any test.

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The null hypothesis is the claim that there’s no effect in the population.

If the sample provides enough evidence against the claim that there’s no effect in the population ( p ≤ α), then we can reject the null hypothesis . Otherwise, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

Although “fail to reject” may sound awkward, it’s the only wording that statisticians accept . Be careful not to say you “prove” or “accept” the null hypothesis.

Null hypotheses often include phrases such as “no effect,” “no difference,” or “no relationship.” When written in mathematical terms, they always include an equality (usually =, but sometimes ≥ or ≤).

You can never know with complete certainty whether there is an effect in the population. Some percentage of the time, your inference about the population will be incorrect. When you incorrectly reject the null hypothesis, it’s called a type I error . When you incorrectly fail to reject it, it’s a type II error.

Examples of null hypotheses

The table below gives examples of research questions and null hypotheses. There’s always more than one way to answer a research question, but these null hypotheses can help you get started.

*Note that some researchers prefer to always write the null hypothesis in terms of “no effect” and “=”. It would be fine to say that daily meditation has no effect on the incidence of depression and p 1 = p 2 .

The alternative hypothesis ( H a ) is the other answer to your research question . It claims that there’s an effect in the population.

Often, your alternative hypothesis is the same as your research hypothesis. In other words, it’s the claim that you expect or hope will be true.

The alternative hypothesis is the complement to the null hypothesis. Null and alternative hypotheses are exhaustive, meaning that together they cover every possible outcome. They are also mutually exclusive, meaning that only one can be true at a time.

Alternative hypotheses often include phrases such as “an effect,” “a difference,” or “a relationship.” When alternative hypotheses are written in mathematical terms, they always include an inequality (usually ≠, but sometimes < or >). As with null hypotheses, there are many acceptable ways to phrase an alternative hypothesis.

Examples of alternative hypotheses

The table below gives examples of research questions and alternative hypotheses to help you get started with formulating your own.

Null and alternative hypotheses are similar in some ways:

• They’re both answers to the research question.
• They both make claims about the population.
• They’re both evaluated by statistical tests.

However, there are important differences between the two types of hypotheses, summarized in the following table.

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To help you write your hypotheses, you can use the template sentences below. If you know which statistical test you’re going to use, you can use the test-specific template sentences. Otherwise, you can use the general template sentences.

General template sentences

The only thing you need to know to use these general template sentences are your dependent and independent variables. To write your research question, null hypothesis, and alternative hypothesis, fill in the following sentences with your variables:

Does independent variable affect dependent variable ?

• Null hypothesis ( H 0 ): Independent variable does not affect dependent variable.
• Alternative hypothesis ( H a ): Independent variable affects dependent variable.

Test-specific template sentences

Once you know the statistical test you’ll be using, you can write your hypotheses in a more precise and mathematical way specific to the test you chose. The table below provides template sentences for common statistical tests.

Note: The template sentences above assume that you’re performing one-tailed tests . One-tailed tests are appropriate for most studies.

If you want to know more about statistics , methodology , or research bias , make sure to check out some of our other articles with explanations and examples.

• Normal distribution
• Descriptive statistics
• Measures of central tendency
• Correlation coefficient

Methodology

• Cluster sampling
• Stratified sampling
• Types of interviews
• Cohort study
• Thematic analysis

Research bias

• Implicit bias
• Cognitive bias
• Survivorship bias
• Availability heuristic
• Nonresponse bias
• Regression to the mean

Hypothesis testing is a formal procedure for investigating our ideas about the world using statistics. It is used by scientists to test specific predictions, called hypotheses , by calculating how likely it is that a pattern or relationship between variables could have arisen by chance.

Null and alternative hypotheses are used in statistical hypothesis testing . The null hypothesis of a test always predicts no effect or no relationship between variables, while the alternative hypothesis states your research prediction of an effect or relationship.

The null hypothesis is often abbreviated as H 0 . When the null hypothesis is written using mathematical symbols, it always includes an equality symbol (usually =, but sometimes ≥ or ≤).

The alternative hypothesis is often abbreviated as H a or H 1 . When the alternative hypothesis is written using mathematical symbols, it always includes an inequality symbol (usually ≠, but sometimes < or >).

A research hypothesis is your proposed answer to your research question. The research hypothesis usually includes an explanation (“ x affects y because …”).

A statistical hypothesis, on the other hand, is a mathematical statement about a population parameter. Statistical hypotheses always come in pairs: the null and alternative hypotheses . In a well-designed study , the statistical hypotheses correspond logically to the research hypothesis.

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• Knowledge Base
• Null and Alternative Hypotheses | Definitions & Examples

Null and Alternative Hypotheses | Definitions & Examples

Published on 5 October 2022 by Shaun Turney . Revised on 6 December 2022.

The null and alternative hypotheses are two competing claims that researchers weigh evidence for and against using a statistical test :

• Null hypothesis (H 0 ): There’s no effect in the population .
• Alternative hypothesis (H A ): There’s an effect in the population.

The effect is usually the effect of the independent variable on the dependent variable .

Table of contents

Answering your research question with hypotheses, what is a null hypothesis, what is an alternative hypothesis, differences between null and alternative hypotheses, how to write null and alternative hypotheses, frequently asked questions about null and alternative hypotheses.

The null and alternative hypotheses offer competing answers to your research question . When the research question asks “Does the independent variable affect the dependent variable?”, the null hypothesis (H 0 ) answers “No, there’s no effect in the population.” On the other hand, the alternative hypothesis (H A ) answers “Yes, there is an effect in the population.”

The null and alternative are always claims about the population. That’s because the goal of hypothesis testing is to make inferences about a population based on a sample . Often, we infer whether there’s an effect in the population by looking at differences between groups or relationships between variables in the sample.

You can use a statistical test to decide whether the evidence favors the null or alternative hypothesis. Each type of statistical test comes with a specific way of phrasing the null and alternative hypothesis. However, the hypotheses can also be phrased in a general way that applies to any test.

The null hypothesis is the claim that there’s no effect in the population.

If the sample provides enough evidence against the claim that there’s no effect in the population ( p ≤ α), then we can reject the null hypothesis . Otherwise, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

Although “fail to reject” may sound awkward, it’s the only wording that statisticians accept. Be careful not to say you “prove” or “accept” the null hypothesis.

Null hypotheses often include phrases such as “no effect”, “no difference”, or “no relationship”. When written in mathematical terms, they always include an equality (usually =, but sometimes ≥ or ≤).

Examples of null hypotheses

The table below gives examples of research questions and null hypotheses. There’s always more than one way to answer a research question, but these null hypotheses can help you get started.

*Note that some researchers prefer to always write the null hypothesis in terms of “no effect” and “=”. It would be fine to say that daily meditation has no effect on the incidence of depression and p 1 = p 2 .

The alternative hypothesis (H A ) is the other answer to your research question . It claims that there’s an effect in the population.

Often, your alternative hypothesis is the same as your research hypothesis. In other words, it’s the claim that you expect or hope will be true.

The alternative hypothesis is the complement to the null hypothesis. Null and alternative hypotheses are exhaustive, meaning that together they cover every possible outcome. They are also mutually exclusive, meaning that only one can be true at a time.

Alternative hypotheses often include phrases such as “an effect”, “a difference”, or “a relationship”. When alternative hypotheses are written in mathematical terms, they always include an inequality (usually ≠, but sometimes > or <). As with null hypotheses, there are many acceptable ways to phrase an alternative hypothesis.

Examples of alternative hypotheses

The table below gives examples of research questions and alternative hypotheses to help you get started with formulating your own.

Null and alternative hypotheses are similar in some ways:

• They’re both answers to the research question
• They both make claims about the population
• They’re both evaluated by statistical tests.

However, there are important differences between the two types of hypotheses, summarized in the following table.

To help you write your hypotheses, you can use the template sentences below. If you know which statistical test you’re going to use, you can use the test-specific template sentences. Otherwise, you can use the general template sentences.

The only thing you need to know to use these general template sentences are your dependent and independent variables. To write your research question, null hypothesis, and alternative hypothesis, fill in the following sentences with your variables:

Does independent variable affect dependent variable ?

• Null hypothesis (H 0 ): Independent variable does not affect dependent variable .
• Alternative hypothesis (H A ): Independent variable affects dependent variable .

Test-specific

Once you know the statistical test you’ll be using, you can write your hypotheses in a more precise and mathematical way specific to the test you chose. The table below provides template sentences for common statistical tests.

Note: The template sentences above assume that you’re performing one-tailed tests . One-tailed tests are appropriate for most studies.

The null hypothesis is often abbreviated as H 0 . When the null hypothesis is written using mathematical symbols, it always includes an equality symbol (usually =, but sometimes ≥ or ≤).

The alternative hypothesis is often abbreviated as H a or H 1 . When the alternative hypothesis is written using mathematical symbols, it always includes an inequality symbol (usually ≠, but sometimes < or >).

A research hypothesis is your proposed answer to your research question. The research hypothesis usually includes an explanation (‘ x affects y because …’).

A statistical hypothesis, on the other hand, is a mathematical statement about a population parameter. Statistical hypotheses always come in pairs: the null and alternative hypotheses. In a well-designed study , the statistical hypotheses correspond logically to the research hypothesis.

Cite this Scribbr article

If you want to cite this source, you can copy and paste the citation or click the ‘Cite this Scribbr article’ button to automatically add the citation to our free Reference Generator.

Turney, S. (2022, December 06). Null and Alternative Hypotheses | Definitions & Examples. Scribbr. Retrieved 27 September 2024, from https://www.scribbr.co.uk/stats/null-and-alternative-hypothesis/

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t-test Calculator

Table of contents

Welcome to our t-test calculator! Here you can not only easily perform one-sample t-tests , but also two-sample t-tests , as well as paired t-tests .

Do you prefer to find the p-value from t-test, or would you rather find the t-test critical values? Well, this t-test calculator can do both! 😊

What does a t-test tell you? Take a look at the text below, where we explain what actually gets tested when various types of t-tests are performed. Also, we explain when to use t-tests (in particular, whether to use the z-test vs. t-test) and what assumptions your data should satisfy for the results of a t-test to be valid. If you've ever wanted to know how to do a t-test by hand, we provide the necessary t-test formula, as well as tell you how to determine the number of degrees of freedom in a t-test.

When to use a t-test?

A t-test is one of the most popular statistical tests for location , i.e., it deals with the population(s) mean value(s).

There are different types of t-tests that you can perform:

• A one-sample t-test;
• A two-sample t-test; and
• A paired t-test.

In the next section , we explain when to use which. Remember that a t-test can only be used for one or two groups . If you need to compare three (or more) means, use the analysis of variance ( ANOVA ) method.

The t-test is a parametric test, meaning that your data has to fulfill some assumptions :

• The data points are independent; AND
• The data, at least approximately, follow a normal distribution .

If your sample doesn't fit these assumptions, you can resort to nonparametric alternatives. Visit our Mann–Whitney U test calculator or the Wilcoxon rank-sum test calculator to learn more. Other possibilities include the Wilcoxon signed-rank test or the sign test.

Which t-test?

Your choice of t-test depends on whether you are studying one group or two groups:

One sample t-test

Choose the one-sample t-test to check if the mean of a population is equal to some pre-set hypothesized value .

The average volume of a drink sold in 0.33 l cans — is it really equal to 330 ml?

The average weight of people from a specific city — is it different from the national average?

Two-sample t-test

Choose the two-sample t-test to check if the difference between the means of two populations is equal to some pre-determined value when the two samples have been chosen independently of each other.

In particular, you can use this test to check whether the two groups are different from one another .

The average difference in weight gain in two groups of people: one group was on a high-carb diet and the other on a high-fat diet.

The average difference in the results of a math test from students at two different universities.

This test is sometimes referred to as an independent samples t-test , or an unpaired samples t-test .

Paired t-test

A paired t-test is used to investigate the change in the mean of a population before and after some experimental intervention , based on a paired sample, i.e., when each subject has been measured twice: before and after treatment.

In particular, you can use this test to check whether, on average, the treatment has had any effect on the population .

The change in student test performance before and after taking a course.

The change in blood pressure in patients before and after administering some drug.

How to do a t-test?

So, you've decided which t-test to perform. These next steps will tell you how to calculate the p-value from t-test or its critical values, and then which decision to make about the null hypothesis.

Decide on the alternative hypothesis :

Use a two-tailed t-test if you only care whether the population's mean (or, in the case of two populations, the difference between the populations' means) agrees or disagrees with the pre-set value.

Use a one-tailed t-test if you want to test whether this mean (or difference in means) is greater/less than the pre-set value.

Compute your T-score value :

Formulas for the test statistic in t-tests include the sample size , as well as its mean and standard deviation . The exact formula depends on the t-test type — check the sections dedicated to each particular test for more details.

Determine the degrees of freedom for the t-test:

The degrees of freedom are the number of observations in a sample that are free to vary as we estimate statistical parameters. In the simplest case, the number of degrees of freedom equals your sample size minus the number of parameters you need to estimate . Again, the exact formula depends on the t-test you want to perform — check the sections below for details.

The degrees of freedom are essential, as they determine the distribution followed by your T-score (under the null hypothesis). If there are d degrees of freedom, then the distribution of the test statistics is the t-Student distribution with d degrees of freedom . This distribution has a shape similar to N(0,1) (bell-shaped and symmetric) but has heavier tails . If the number of degrees of freedom is large (>30), which generically happens for large samples, the t-Student distribution is practically indistinguishable from N(0,1).

💡 The t-Student distribution owes its name to William Sealy Gosset, who, in 1908, published his paper on the t-test under the pseudonym "Student". Gosset worked at the famous Guinness Brewery in Dublin, Ireland, and devised the t-test as an economical way to monitor the quality of beer. Cheers! 🍺🍺🍺

p-value from t-test

Recall that the p-value is the probability (calculated under the assumption that the null hypothesis is true) that the test statistic will produce values at least as extreme as the T-score produced for your sample . As probabilities correspond to areas under the density function, p-value from t-test can be nicely illustrated with the help of the following pictures:

The following formulae say how to calculate p-value from t-test. By cdf t,d we denote the cumulative distribution function of the t-Student distribution with d degrees of freedom:

p-value from left-tailed t-test:

p-value = cdf t,d (t score )

p-value from right-tailed t-test:

p-value = 1 − cdf t,d (t score )

p-value from two-tailed t-test:

p-value = 2 × cdf t,d (−|t score |)

or, equivalently: p-value = 2 − 2 × cdf t,d (|t score |)

However, the cdf of the t-distribution is given by a somewhat complicated formula. To find the p-value by hand, you would need to resort to statistical tables, where approximate cdf values are collected, or to specialized statistical software. Fortunately, our t-test calculator determines the p-value from t-test for you in the blink of an eye!

t-test critical values

Recall, that in the critical values approach to hypothesis testing, you need to set a significance level, α, before computing the critical values , which in turn give rise to critical regions (a.k.a. rejection regions).

Formulas for critical values employ the quantile function of t-distribution, i.e., the inverse of the cdf :

Critical value for left-tailed t-test: cdf t,d -1 (α)

critical region:

(-∞, cdf t,d -1 (α)]

Critical value for right-tailed t-test: cdf t,d -1 (1-α)

[cdf t,d -1 (1-α), ∞)

Critical values for two-tailed t-test: ±cdf t,d -1 (1-α/2)

(-∞, -cdf t,d -1 (1-α/2)] ∪ [cdf t,d -1 (1-α/2), ∞)

To decide the fate of the null hypothesis, just check if your T-score lies within the critical region:

If your T-score belongs to the critical region , reject the null hypothesis and accept the alternative hypothesis.

If your T-score is outside the critical region , then you don't have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis.

How to use our t-test calculator

Choose the type of t-test you wish to perform:

A one-sample t-test (to test the mean of a single group against a hypothesized mean);

A two-sample t-test (to compare the means for two groups); or

A paired t-test (to check how the mean from the same group changes after some intervention).

Two-tailed;

Left-tailed; or

Right-tailed.

This t-test calculator allows you to use either the p-value approach or the critical regions approach to hypothesis testing!

Enter your T-score and the number of degrees of freedom . If you don't know them, provide some data about your sample(s): sample size, mean, and standard deviation, and our t-test calculator will compute the T-score and degrees of freedom for you .

Once all the parameters are present, the p-value, or critical region, will immediately appear underneath the t-test calculator, along with an interpretation!

One-sample t-test

The null hypothesis is that the population mean is equal to some value μ 0 \mu_0 μ 0 ​ .

The alternative hypothesis is that the population mean is:

• different from μ 0 \mu_0 μ 0 ​ ;
• smaller than μ 0 \mu_0 μ 0 ​ ; or
• greater than μ 0 \mu_0 μ 0 ​ .

One-sample t-test formula :

• μ 0 \mu_0 μ 0 ​ — Mean postulated in the null hypothesis;
• n n n — Sample size;
• x ˉ \bar{x} x ˉ — Sample mean; and
• s s s — Sample standard deviation.

Number of degrees of freedom in t-test (one-sample) = n − 1 n-1 n − 1 .

The null hypothesis is that the actual difference between these groups' means, μ 1 \mu_1 μ 1 ​ , and μ 2 \mu_2 μ 2 ​ , is equal to some pre-set value, Δ \Delta Δ .

The alternative hypothesis is that the difference μ 1 − μ 2 \mu_1 - \mu_2 μ 1 ​ − μ 2 ​ is:

• Different from Δ \Delta Δ ;
• Smaller than Δ \Delta Δ ; or
• Greater than Δ \Delta Δ .

In particular, if this pre-determined difference is zero ( Δ = 0 \Delta = 0 Δ = 0 ):

The null hypothesis is that the population means are equal.

The alternate hypothesis is that the population means are:

• μ 1 \mu_1 μ 1 ​ and μ 2 \mu_2 μ 2 ​ are different from one another;
• μ 1 \mu_1 μ 1 ​ is smaller than μ 2 \mu_2 μ 2 ​ ; and
• μ 1 \mu_1 μ 1 ​ is greater than μ 2 \mu_2 μ 2 ​ .

Formally, to perform a t-test, we should additionally assume that the variances of the two populations are equal (this assumption is called the homogeneity of variance ).

There is a version of a t-test that can be applied without the assumption of homogeneity of variance: it is called a Welch's t-test . For your convenience, we describe both versions.

Two-sample t-test if variances are equal

Use this test if you know that the two populations' variances are the same (or very similar).

Two-sample t-test formula (with equal variances) :

where s p s_p s p ​ is the so-called pooled standard deviation , which we compute as:

• Δ \Delta Δ — Mean difference postulated in the null hypothesis;
• n 1 n_1 n 1 ​ — First sample size;
• x ˉ 1 \bar{x}_1 x ˉ 1 ​ — Mean for the first sample;
• s 1 s_1 s 1 ​ — Standard deviation in the first sample;
• n 2 n_2 n 2 ​ — Second sample size;
• x ˉ 2 \bar{x}_2 x ˉ 2 ​ — Mean for the second sample; and
• s 2 s_2 s 2 ​ — Standard deviation in the second sample.

Number of degrees of freedom in t-test (two samples, equal variances) = n 1 + n 2 − 2 n_1 + n_2 - 2 n 1 ​ + n 2 ​ − 2 .

Two-sample t-test if variances are unequal (Welch's t-test)

Use this test if the variances of your populations are different.

Two-sample Welch's t-test formula if variances are unequal:

• s 1 s_1 s 1 ​ — Standard deviation in the first sample;
• s 2 s_2 s 2 ​ — Standard deviation in the second sample.

The number of degrees of freedom in a Welch's t-test (two-sample t-test with unequal variances) is very difficult to count. We can approximate it with the help of the following Satterthwaite formula :

Alternatively, you can take the smaller of n 1 − 1 n_1 - 1 n 1 ​ − 1 and n 2 − 1 n_2 - 1 n 2 ​ − 1 as a conservative estimate for the number of degrees of freedom.

🔎 The Satterthwaite formula for the degrees of freedom can be rewritten as a scaled weighted harmonic mean of the degrees of freedom of the respective samples: n 1 − 1 n_1 - 1 n 1 ​ − 1 and n 2 − 1 n_2 - 1 n 2 ​ − 1 , and the weights are proportional to the standard deviations of the corresponding samples.

As we commonly perform a paired t-test when we have data about the same subjects measured twice (before and after some treatment), let us adopt the convention of referring to the samples as the pre-group and post-group.

The null hypothesis is that the true difference between the means of pre- and post-populations is equal to some pre-set value, Δ \Delta Δ .

The alternative hypothesis is that the actual difference between these means is:

Typically, this pre-determined difference is zero. We can then reformulate the hypotheses as follows:

The null hypothesis is that the pre- and post-means are the same, i.e., the treatment has no impact on the population .

The alternative hypothesis:

• The pre- and post-means are different from one another (treatment has some effect);
• The pre-mean is smaller than the post-mean (treatment increases the result); or
• The pre-mean is greater than the post-mean (treatment decreases the result).

Paired t-test formula

In fact, a paired t-test is technically the same as a one-sample t-test! Let us see why it is so. Let x 1 , . . . , x n x_1, ... , x_n x 1 ​ , ... , x n ​ be the pre observations and y 1 , . . . , y n y_1, ... , y_n y 1 ​ , ... , y n ​ the respective post observations. That is, x i , y i x_i, y_i x i ​ , y i ​ are the before and after measurements of the i -th subject.

For each subject, compute the difference, d i : = x i − y i d_i := x_i - y_i d i ​ := x i ​ − y i ​ . All that happens next is just a one-sample t-test performed on the sample of differences d 1 , . . . , d n d_1, ... , d_n d 1 ​ , ... , d n ​ . Take a look at the formula for the T-score :

Δ \Delta Δ — Mean difference postulated in the null hypothesis;

n n n — Size of the sample of differences, i.e., the number of pairs;

x ˉ \bar{x} x ˉ — Mean of the sample of differences; and

s s s  — Standard deviation of the sample of differences.

Number of degrees of freedom in t-test (paired): n − 1 n - 1 n − 1

t-test vs Z-test

We use a Z-test when we want to test the population mean of a normally distributed dataset, which has a known population variance . If the number of degrees of freedom is large, then the t-Student distribution is very close to N(0,1).

Hence, if there are many data points (at least 30), you may swap a t-test for a Z-test, and the results will be almost identical. However, for small samples with unknown variance, remember to use the t-test because, in such cases, the t-Student distribution differs significantly from the N(0,1)!

🙋 Have you concluded you need to perform the z-test? Head straight to our z-test calculator !

What is a t-test?

A t-test is a widely used statistical test that analyzes the means of one or two groups of data. For instance, a t-test is performed on medical data to determine whether a new drug really helps.

What are different types of t-tests?

Different types of t-tests are:

• One-sample t-test;
• Two-sample t-test; and
• Paired t-test.

How to find the t value in a one sample t-test?

To find the t-value:

• Subtract the null hypothesis mean from the sample mean value.
• Divide the difference by the standard deviation of the sample.
• Multiply the resultant with the square root of the sample size.

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ol{padding-top:0;}.css-63uqft ul:not(:first-child),.css-63uqft ol:not(:first-child){padding-top:4px;} Test setup

Choose test type

t-test for the population mean, μ, based on one independent sample . Null hypothesis H 0 : μ = μ 0  

Alternative hypothesis H 1

Test details

Significance level α

The probability that we reject a true H 0 (type I error).

Degrees of freedom

Calculated as sample size minus one.

Test results

A Beginner's Guide to Hypothesis Testing: Key Concepts and Applications

• September 27, 2024

In our everyday lives, we often encounter statements and claims that we can't instantly verify. 

Have you ever questioned how to determine which statements are factual or validate them with certainty? 

Fortunately, there's a systematic way to find answers: Hypothesis Testing.

Hypothesis Testing is a fundamental concept in analytics and statistics, yet it remains a mystery to many. This method helps us understand and validate data and supports decision-making in various fields. 

Are you curious about how it works and why it's so crucial? 

Let's understand the hypothesis testing basics and explore its applications together.

What is hypothesis testing in statistics?

Hypothesis evaluation is a statistical method used to determine whether there is enough evidence in a sample of data to support a particular assumption. 

A statistical hypothesis test generally involves calculating a test statistic. The decision is then made by either comparing the test statistic to a crucial value or assessing the p-value derived from the test statistic.

The P-value in Hypothesis Testing

P-value helps determine whether to accept or reject the null hypothesis (H₀) during hypothesis testing.

Two types of errors in this process are:

• Type I error (α):

This happens when the null hypothesis is incorrectly rejected, meaning we think there's an effect or difference when there isn't.

It is denoted by α (significance level).

• Type II error (β)

This occurs when the null hypothesis gets incorrectly accepted, meaning we fail to detect an effect or difference that exists.

It is denoted by β (power level).

• Type I error: Rejecting something that's true.
• Type II error: Accepting something that's false.

Here's a simplified breakdown of the key components of hypothesis testing :

• Null Hypothesis (H₀): The default assumption that there's no significant effect or difference
• Alternative Hypothesis (H₁): The statement that challenges the null hypothesis, suggesting a significant effect
• P-Value : This tells you how likely it is that your results happened by chance. 
• Significance Level (α): Typically set at 0.05, this is the threshold used to conclude whether to reject the null hypothesis.

This process is often used in financial analysis to test the effectiveness of trading strategies, assess portfolio performance, or predict market trends.

Statistical Hypothesis Testing for Beginners: A Step-by-Step Guide

Applying hypothesis testing in finance requires a clear understanding of the steps involved. 

Here's a practical approach for beginners:

STEP 1: Define the Hypothesis

Start by formulating your null and alternative hypotheses. For example, you might hypothesise that a certain stock's returns outperform the market average.

STEP 2: Collect Data

Gather relevant financial data from reliable sources, ensuring that your sample size is appropriate to draw meaningful conclusions.

STEP 3: Choose the Right Test

Select a one-tailed or two-tailed test depending on the data type and your hypothesis. Two-tailed tests are commonly used for financial analysis to assess whether a parameter differs in either direction.

STEP 4: Calculate the Test Statistic

Use statistical software or a financial calculator to compute your test statistic and compare it to the critical value.

STEP 5: Interpret the Results

Based on the p-value, decide whether to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis. If the p-value is below the significance level, it indicates that the null hypothesis is unlikely, and you may accept the alternative hypothesis.

Here's a quick reference table to help with your decisions:

  Real-Life Applications of Hypothesis Testing in Finance

The concept of hypothesis testing basics might sound theoretical, but its real-world applications are vast in the financial sector. 

Here's how professionals use it:

• Investment Portfolio Performance : Analysts often use statistical hypothesis testing for beginners to determine whether one investment portfolio performs better than another.
• Risk Assessment: Statistical testing helps evaluate market risk by testing assumptions about asset price movements and volatility.
• Forecasting Market Trends : Predicting future market trends using past data can be tricky, but research testing allows professionals to make more informed predictions by validating their assumptions.

Common Pitfalls to Avoid in Hypothesis Testing

Even seasoned professionals sometimes need to correct their theory testing analysis.

Here are some common mistakes you'll want to avoid:

Misinterpreting P-Values

A common misunderstanding is that a low p-value proves that the alternative hypothesis is correct. It just means there's strong evidence against the null hypothesis.

Ignoring Sample Size

Small sample sizes can also lead to misleading results, so ensuring that your data set is large enough to provide reliable insights is crucial.

Overfitting the Model

This happens when you tailor your hypothesis too closely to the sample data, resulting in a model that only holds up under different conditions.

By being aware of these pitfalls, you'll be better positioned to conduct accurate hypothesis tests in any financial scenario.

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Q: What is hypothesis testing in finance?

A: This is a statistical method used in finance to validate assumptions or hypotheses about financial data, such as testing the performance of investment strategies.

Q: What are the types of hypothesis testing?

A: The two primary types are one-tailed and two-tailed tests. You can use one-tailed tests to assess a specific direction of effect, while you can use two-tailed tests to determine if there is any significant difference, regardless of the direction.

Q: What is a p-value in hypothesis testing?

A: A p-value indicates the probability that your observed results occurred by chance. A lower p-value suggests stronger evidence against the null hypothesis.

Q: Why is sample size important in hypothesis testing?

A: A larger sample size increases the reliability of results, reducing the risk of errors and providing more accurate conclusions in hypothesis testing.

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Paired T-Test

The paired sample  t -test, sometimes called the dependent sample  t -test, is a statistical procedure used to determine whether the mean difference between two sets of observations is zero. In a paired sample  t -test, each subject or entity is measured twice, resulting in  pairs  of observations. Common applications of the paired sample  t -test include case-control studies or repeated-measures designs. Suppose you are interested in evaluating the effectiveness of a company training program. One approach you might consider would be to measure the performance of a sample of employees before and after completing the program, and analyze the differences using a paired sample  t -test.

Like many statistical procedures, the paired sample t -test has two competing hypotheses, the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis . The null hypothesis assumes that the true mean difference between the paired samples is zero. Under this model, all observable differences are explained by random variation. Conversely, the alternative hypothesis assumes that the true mean difference between the paired samples is not equal to zero. The alternative hypothesis can take one of several forms depending on the expected outcome. If the direction of the difference does not matter, a two-tailed hypothesis is used. Otherwise, an upper-tailed or lower-tailed hypothesis can be used to increase the power of the test. The null hypothesis remains the same for each type of alternative hypothesis. The paired sample t -test hypotheses are formally defined below:

• The null hypothesis (\(H_0\)) assumes that the true mean difference (\(\mu_d\)) is equal to zero.

• The two-tailed alternative hypothesis (\(H_1\)) assumes that \(\mu_d\) is not equal to zero.

• The upper-tailed alternative hypothesis (\(H_1\)) assumes that \(\mu_d\) is greater than zero.

• The lower-tailed alternative hypothesis (\(H_1\)) assumes that \(\mu_d\) is less than zero.

The mathematical representations of the null and alternative hypotheses are defined below:\(H_0:\ \mu_d\ =\ 0\)

• \(H_1:\ \mu_d\ \ne\ 0\)    (two-tailed)
• \(H_1:\ \mu_d\ >\ 0\)    (upper-tailed)
• \(H_1:\ \mu_d\ <\ 0\)    (lower-tailed)

Note. It is important to remember that hypotheses are never about data, they are about the processes which produce the data. In the formulas above, the value of \(\mu_d\) is unknown. The goal of hypothesis testing is to determine the hypothesis (null or alternative) with which the data are more consistent.

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Assumptions

As a parametric procedure (a procedure which estimates unknown parameters), the paired sample t -test makes several assumptions. Although t -tests are quite robust, it is good practice to evaluate the degree of deviation from these assumptions in order to assess the quality of the results. In a paired sample t -test, the observations are defined as the differences between two sets of values, and each assumption refers to these differences, not the original data values. The paired sample t -test has four main assumptions:

• • The dependent variable must be continuous (interval/ratio).
• • The observations are independent of one another.
• • The dependent variable should be approximately normally distributed.
• • The dependent variable should not contain any outliers.

Level of Measurement

The paired sample t -test requires the sample data to be numeric and continuous, as it is based on the normal distribution. Continuous data can take on any value within a range (income, height, weight, etc.). The opposite of continuous data is discrete data, which can only take on a few values (Low, Medium, High, etc.). Occasionally, discrete data can be used to approximate a continuous scale, such as with Likert-type scales.

Independence

Independence of observations is usually not testable, but can be reasonably assumed if the data collection process was random without replacement. In our example, it is reasonable to assume that the participating employees are independent of one another.

To test the assumption of normality, a variety of methods are available, but the simplest is to inspect the data visually using a tool like a histogram (Figure 1). Real-world data are almost never perfectly normal, so this assumption can be considered reasonably met if the shape looks approximately symmetric and bell-shaped. The data in the example figure below is approximately normally distributed.

Outliers are rare values that appear far away from the majority of the data. Outliers can bias the results and potentially lead to incorrect conclusions if not handled properly. One method for dealing with outliers is to simply remove them. However, removing data points can introduce other types of bias into the results, and potentially result in losing critical information. If outliers seem to have a lot of influence on the results, a nonparametric test such as the Wilcoxon Signed Rank Test may be appropriate to use instead. Outliers can be identified visually using a boxplot (Figure 2).

The procedure for a paired sample t -test can be summed up in four steps. The symbols to be used are defined below:

• \(D\ =\ \)Differences between two paired samples
• \(d_i\ =\ \)The \(i^{th}\) observation in \(D\)
• \(n\ =\ \)The sample size
• \(\overline{d}\ =\ \)The sample mean of the differences
• \(\hat{\sigma}\ =\ \)The sample standard deviation of the differences
• \(T\ =\)The critical value of a t -distribution with (\(n\ -\ 1\)) degrees of freedom
• \(t\ =\ \)The t -statistic ( t -test statistic) for a paired sample t -test
• \(p\ =\ \)The \(p\)-value (probability value) for the t -statistic.

The four steps are listed below:

• 1. Calculate the sample mean.
• \(\overline{d}\ =\ \cfrac{d_1\ +\ d_2\ +\ \cdots\ +\ d_n}{n}\)
• 2. Calculate the sample standard deviation.
• \(\hat{\sigma}\ =\ \sqrt{\cfrac{(d_1\ -\ \overline{d})^2\ +\ (d_2\ -\ \overline{d})^2\ +\ \cdots\ +\ (d_n\ -\ \overline{d})^2}{n\ -\ 1}}\)
• 3. Calculate the test statistic.
• \(t\ =\ \cfrac{\overline{d}\ -\ 0}{\hat{\sigma}/\sqrt{n}}\)
• 4. Calculate the probability of observing the test statistic under the null hypothesis. This value is obtained by comparing t to a t -distribution with (\(n\ -\ 1\)) degrees of freedom. This can be done by looking up the value in a table, such as those found in many statistical textbooks, or with statistical software for more accurate results.
• \(p\ =\ 2\ \cdot\ Pr(T\ >\ |t|)\)    (two-tailed)
• \(p\ =\ Pr(T\ >\ t)\)    (upper-tailed)
• \(p\ =\ Pr(T\ <\ t)\)    (lower-tailed)

Determine whether the results provide sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative hypothesis.

Interpretation

There are two types of significance to consider when interpreting the results of a paired sample t -test, statistical significance and practical significance.

Statistical Significance

Statistical significance is determined by looking at the p -value. The p -value gives the probability of observing the test results under the null hypothesis. The lower the p -value, the lower the probability of obtaining a result like the one that was observed if the null hypothesis was true. Thus, a low p -value indicates decreased support for the null hypothesis. However, the possibility that the null hypothesis is true and that we simply obtained a very rare result can never be ruled out completely. The cutoff value for determining statistical significance is ultimately decided on by the researcher, but usually a value of .05 or less is chosen. This corresponds to a 5% (or less) chance of obtaining a result like the one that was observed if the null hypothesis was true.

Practical Significance

Practical significance depends on the subject matter. It is not uncommon, especially with large sample sizes, to observe a result that is statistically significant but not practically significant. In most cases, both types of significance are required in order to draw meaningful conclusions.

Statistics Solutions can assist with your quantitative analysis by assisting you to develop your methodology and results chapters. The services that we offer include:

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Module 9: Hypothesis Testing With One Sample

Null and alternative hypotheses, learning outcomes.

• Describe hypothesis testing in general and in practice

The actual test begins by considering two  hypotheses . They are called the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis . These hypotheses contain opposing viewpoints.

H 0 : The null hypothesis: It is a statement about the population that either is believed to be true or is used to put forth an argument unless it can be shown to be incorrect beyond a reasonable doubt.

H a : The alternative hypothesis : It is a claim about the population that is contradictory to H 0 and what we conclude when we reject H 0 .

Since the null and alternative hypotheses are contradictory, you must examine evidence to decide if you have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis or not. The evidence is in the form of sample data.

After you have determined which hypothesis the sample supports, you make adecision. There are two options for a  decision . They are “reject H 0 ” if the sample information favors the alternative hypothesis or “do not reject H 0 ” or “decline to reject H 0 ” if the sample information is insufficient to reject the null hypothesis.

Mathematical Symbols Used in  H 0 and H a :

H 0 always has a symbol with an equal in it. H a never has a symbol with an equal in it. The choice of symbol depends on the wording of the hypothesis test. However, be aware that many researchers (including one of the co-authors in research work) use = in the null hypothesis, even with > or < as the symbol in the alternative hypothesis. This practice is acceptable because we only make the decision to reject or not reject the null hypothesis.

H 0 : No more than 30% of the registered voters in Santa Clara County voted in the primary election. p ≤ 30

H a : More than 30% of the registered voters in Santa Clara County voted in the primary election. p > 30

A medical trial is conducted to test whether or not a new medicine reduces cholesterol by 25%. State the null and alternative hypotheses.

H 0 : The drug reduces cholesterol by 25%. p = 0.25

H a : The drug does not reduce cholesterol by 25%. p ≠ 0.25

We want to test whether the mean GPA of students in American colleges is different from 2.0 (out of 4.0). The null and alternative hypotheses are:

H 0 : μ = 2.0

H a : μ ≠ 2.0

We want to test whether the mean height of eighth graders is 66 inches. State the null and alternative hypotheses. Fill in the correct symbol (=, ≠, ≥, <, ≤, >) for the null and alternative hypotheses. H 0 : μ __ 66 H a : μ __ 66

• H 0 : μ = 66
• H a : μ ≠ 66

We want to test if college students take less than five years to graduate from college, on the average. The null and alternative hypotheses are:

H 0 : μ ≥ 5

H a : μ < 5

We want to test if it takes fewer than 45 minutes to teach a lesson plan. State the null and alternative hypotheses. Fill in the correct symbol ( =, ≠, ≥, <, ≤, >) for the null and alternative hypotheses. H 0 : μ __ 45 H a : μ __ 45

• H 0 : μ ≥ 45
• H a : μ < 45

In an issue of U.S. News and World Report , an article on school standards stated that about half of all students in France, Germany, and Israel take advanced placement exams and a third pass. The same article stated that 6.6% of U.S. students take advanced placement exams and 4.4% pass. Test if the percentage of U.S. students who take advanced placement exams is more than 6.6%. State the null and alternative hypotheses.

H 0 : p ≤ 0.066

H a : p > 0.066

On a state driver’s test, about 40% pass the test on the first try. We want to test if more than 40% pass on the first try. Fill in the correct symbol (=, ≠, ≥, <, ≤, >) for the null and alternative hypotheses. H 0 : p __ 0.40 H a : p __ 0.40

• H 0 : p = 0.40
• H a : p > 0.40

Concept Review

In a  hypothesis test , sample data is evaluated in order to arrive at a decision about some type of claim. If certain conditions about the sample are satisfied, then the claim can be evaluated for a population. In a hypothesis test, we: Evaluate the null hypothesis , typically denoted with H 0 . The null is not rejected unless the hypothesis test shows otherwise. The null statement must always contain some form of equality (=, ≤ or ≥) Always write the alternative hypothesis , typically denoted with H a or H 1 , using less than, greater than, or not equals symbols, i.e., (≠, >, or <). If we reject the null hypothesis, then we can assume there is enough evidence to support the alternative hypothesis. Never state that a claim is proven true or false. Keep in mind the underlying fact that hypothesis testing is based on probability laws; therefore, we can talk only in terms of non-absolute certainties.

Formula Review

H 0 and H a are contradictory.

• OpenStax, Statistics, Null and Alternative Hypotheses. Provided by : OpenStax. Located at : http://cnx.org/contents/[email protected]:58/Introductory_Statistics . License : CC BY: Attribution
• Introductory Statistics . Authored by : Barbara Illowski, Susan Dean. Provided by : Open Stax. Located at : http://cnx.org/contents/[email protected] . License : CC BY: Attribution . License Terms : Download for free at http://cnx.org/contents/[email protected]
• Simple hypothesis testing | Probability and Statistics | Khan Academy. Authored by : Khan Academy. Located at : https://youtu.be/5D1gV37bKXY . License : All Rights Reserved . License Terms : Standard YouTube License

9.1 Null and Alternative Hypotheses

The actual test begins by considering two hypotheses . They are called the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis . These hypotheses contain opposing viewpoints.

H 0 , the — null hypothesis: a statement of no difference between sample means or proportions or no difference between a sample mean or proportion and a population mean or proportion. In other words, the difference equals 0.

H a —, the alternative hypothesis: a claim about the population that is contradictory to H 0 and what we conclude when we reject H 0 .

Since the null and alternative hypotheses are contradictory, you must examine evidence to decide if you have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis or not. The evidence is in the form of sample data.

After you have determined which hypothesis the sample supports, you make a decision. There are two options for a decision. They are reject H 0 if the sample information favors the alternative hypothesis or do not reject H 0 or decline to reject H 0 if the sample information is insufficient to reject the null hypothesis.

Mathematical Symbols Used in H 0 and H a :

H 0 always has a symbol with an equal in it. H a never has a symbol with an equal in it. The choice of symbol depends on the wording of the hypothesis test. However, be aware that many researchers use = in the null hypothesis, even with > or < as the symbol in the alternative hypothesis. This practice is acceptable because we only make the decision to reject or not reject the null hypothesis.

Example 9.1

H 0 : No more than 30 percent of the registered voters in Santa Clara County voted in the primary election. p ≤ 30 H a : More than 30 percent of the registered voters in Santa Clara County voted in the primary election. p > 30

A medical trial is conducted to test whether or not a new medicine reduces cholesterol by 25 percent. State the null and alternative hypotheses.

Example 9.2

We want to test whether the mean GPA of students in American colleges is different from 2.0 (out of 4.0). The null and alternative hypotheses are the following: H 0 : μ = 2.0 H a : μ ≠ 2.0

We want to test whether the mean height of eighth graders is 66 inches. State the null and alternative hypotheses. Fill in the correct symbol (=, ≠, ≥, <, ≤, >) for the null and alternative hypotheses.

• H 0 : μ __ 66
• H a : μ __ 66

Example 9.3

We want to test if college students take fewer than five years to graduate from college, on the average. The null and alternative hypotheses are the following: H 0 : μ ≥ 5 H a : μ < 5

We want to test if it takes fewer than 45 minutes to teach a lesson plan. State the null and alternative hypotheses. Fill in the correct symbol ( =, ≠, ≥, <, ≤, >) for the null and alternative hypotheses.

• H 0 : μ __ 45
• H a : μ __ 45

Example 9.4

An article on school standards stated that about half of all students in France, Germany, and Israel take advanced placement exams and a third of the students pass. The same article stated that 6.6 percent of U.S. students take advanced placement exams and 4.4 percent pass. Test if the percentage of U.S. students who take advanced placement exams is more than 6.6 percent. State the null and alternative hypotheses. H 0 : p ≤ 0.066 H a : p > 0.066

On a state driver’s test, about 40 percent pass the test on the first try. We want to test if more than 40 percent pass on the first try. Fill in the correct symbol (=, ≠, ≥, <, ≤, >) for the null and alternative hypotheses.

• H 0 : p __ 0.40
• H a : p __ 0.40

Collaborative Exercise

Bring to class a newspaper, some news magazines, and some internet articles. In groups, find articles from which your group can write null and alternative hypotheses. Discuss your hypotheses with the rest of the class.

This book may not be used in the training of large language models or otherwise be ingested into large language models or generative AI offerings without OpenStax's permission.

Want to cite, share, or modify this book? This book uses the Creative Commons Attribution License and you must attribute Texas Education Agency (TEA). The original material is available at: https://www.texasgateway.org/book/tea-statistics . Changes were made to the original material, including updates to art, structure, and other content updates.

Access for free at https://openstax.org/books/statistics/pages/1-introduction

• Authors: Barbara Illowsky, Susan Dean
• Publisher/website: OpenStax
• Book title: Statistics
• Publication date: Mar 27, 2020
• Location: Houston, Texas
• Book URL: https://openstax.org/books/statistics/pages/1-introduction
• Section URL: https://openstax.org/books/statistics/pages/9-1-null-and-alternative-hypotheses

© Apr 16, 2024 Texas Education Agency (TEA). The OpenStax name, OpenStax logo, OpenStax book covers, OpenStax CNX name, and OpenStax CNX logo are not subject to the Creative Commons license and may not be reproduced without the prior and express written consent of Rice University.

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• SPSS Tutorials

Independent Samples t Test

Spss tutorials: independent samples t test.

• The SPSS Environment
• The Data View Window
• Using SPSS Syntax
• Data Creation in SPSS
• Importing Data into SPSS
• Variable Types
• Date-Time Variables in SPSS
• Defining Variables
• Creating a Codebook
• Computing Variables
• Computing Variables: Mean Centering
• Computing Variables: Recoding Categorical Variables
• Computing Variables: Recoding String Variables into Coded Categories (Automatic Recode)
• rank transform converts a set of data values by ordering them from smallest to largest, and then assigning a rank to each value. In SPSS, the Rank Cases procedure can be used to compute the rank transform of a variable." href="https://libguides.library.kent.edu/SPSS/RankCases" style="" >Computing Variables: Rank Transforms (Rank Cases)
• Weighting Cases
• Sorting Data
• Grouping Data
• Descriptive Stats for One Numeric Variable (Explore)
• Descriptive Stats for One Numeric Variable (Frequencies)
• Descriptive Stats for Many Numeric Variables (Descriptives)
• Descriptive Stats by Group (Compare Means)
• Frequency Tables
• Working with "Check All That Apply" Survey Data (Multiple Response Sets)
• Chi-Square Test of Independence
• Pearson Correlation
• One Sample t Test
• Paired Samples t Test
• One-Way ANOVA
• How to Cite the Tutorials

Sample Data Files

Our tutorials reference a dataset called "sample" in many examples. If you'd like to download the sample dataset to work through the examples, choose one of the files below:

• Data definitions (*.pdf)
• Data - Comma delimited (*.csv)
• Data - Tab delimited (*.txt)
• Data - Excel format (*.xlsx)
• Data - SAS format (*.sas7bdat)
• Data - SPSS format (*.sav)

The Independent Samples t Test compares the means of two independent groups in order to determine whether there is statistical evidence that the associated population means are significantly different. The Independent Samples t Test is a parametric test.

This test is also known as:

• Independent t Test
• Independent Measures t Test
• Independent Two-sample t Test
• Student t Test
• Two-Sample t Test
• Uncorrelated Scores t Test
• Unpaired t Test
• Unrelated t Test

The variables used in this test are known as:

• Dependent variable, or test variable
• Independent variable, or grouping variable

Common Uses

The Independent Samples t Test is commonly used to test the following:

• Statistical differences between the means of two groups
• Statistical differences between the means of two interventions
• Statistical differences between the means of two change scores

Note:  The Independent Samples  t  Test can only compare the means for two (and only two) groups. It cannot make comparisons among more than two groups. If you wish to compare the means across more than two groups, you will likely want to run an ANOVA.

Data Requirements

Your data must meet the following requirements:

• Dependent variable that is continuous (i.e., interval or ratio level)
• Independent variable that is categorical (i.e., nominal or ordinal) and has exactly two categories
• Cases that have nonmissing values for both the dependent and independent variables
• Subjects in the first group cannot also be in the second group
• No subject in either group can influence subjects in the other group
• No group can influence the other group
• Violation of this assumption will yield an inaccurate p value
• Random sample of data from the population
• Non-normal population distributions, especially those that are thick-tailed or heavily skewed, considerably reduce the power of the test
• Among moderate or large samples, a violation of normality may still yield accurate p values
• When this assumption is violated and the sample sizes for each group differ, the p value is not trustworthy. However, the Independent Samples t Test output also includes an approximate t statistic that is not based on assuming equal population variances. This alternative statistic, called the Welch t Test statistic 1 , may be used when equal variances among populations cannot be assumed. The Welch t Test is also known an Unequal Variance t Test or Separate Variances t Test.
• No outliers

Note: When one or more of the assumptions for the Independent Samples t Test are not met, you may want to run the nonparametric Mann-Whitney U Test instead.

Researchers often follow several rules of thumb:

• Each group should have at least 6 subjects, ideally more. Inferences for the population will be more tenuous with too few subjects.
• A balanced design (i.e., same number of subjects in each group) is ideal. Extremely unbalanced designs increase the possibility that violating any of the requirements/assumptions will threaten the validity of the Independent Samples t Test.

1  Welch, B. L. (1947). The generalization of "Student's" problem when several different population variances are involved. Biometrika , 34 (1–2), 28–35.

The null hypothesis ( H 0 ) and alternative hypothesis ( H 1 ) of the Independent Samples t Test can be expressed in two different but equivalent ways:

H 0 : µ 1  = µ 2 ("the two population means are equal") H 1 : µ 1  ≠ µ 2 ("the two population means are not equal")

H 0 : µ 1  - µ 2  = 0 ("the difference between the two population means is equal to 0") H 1 :  µ 1  - µ 2  ≠ 0 ("the difference between the two population means is not 0")

where µ 1 and µ 2 are the population means for group 1 and group 2, respectively. Notice that the second set of hypotheses can be derived from the first set by simply subtracting µ 2 from both sides of the equation.

Levene’s Test for Equality of Variances

Recall that the Independent Samples t Test requires the assumption of homogeneity of variance -- i.e., both groups have the same variance. SPSS conveniently includes a test for the homogeneity of variance, called Levene's Test , whenever you run an independent samples t test.

The hypotheses for Levene’s test are: 

H 0 : σ 1 2 - σ 2 2 = 0 ("the population variances of group 1 and 2 are equal") H 1 : σ 1 2 - σ 2 2 ≠ 0 ("the population variances of group 1 and 2 are not equal")

This implies that if we reject the null hypothesis of Levene's Test, it suggests that the variances of the two groups are not equal; i.e., that the homogeneity of variances assumption is violated.

The output in the Independent Samples Test table includes two rows: Equal variances assumed and Equal variances not assumed . If Levene’s test indicates that the variances are equal across the two groups (i.e., p -value large), you will rely on the first row of output, Equal variances assumed , when you look at the results for the actual Independent Samples t Test (under the heading t -test for Equality of Means). If Levene’s test indicates that the variances are not equal across the two groups (i.e., p -value small), you will need to rely on the second row of output, Equal variances not assumed , when you look at the results of the Independent Samples t Test (under the heading t -test for Equality of Means). 

The difference between these two rows of output lies in the way the independent samples t test statistic is calculated. When equal variances are assumed, the calculation uses pooled variances; when equal variances cannot be assumed, the calculation utilizes un-pooled variances and a correction to the degrees of freedom.

Test Statistic

The test statistic for an Independent Samples t Test is denoted t . There are actually two forms of the test statistic for this test, depending on whether or not equal variances are assumed. SPSS produces both forms of the test, so both forms of the test are described here. Note that the null and alternative hypotheses are identical for both forms of the test statistic.

Equal variances assumed

When the two independent samples are assumed to be drawn from populations with identical population variances (i.e., σ 1 2 = σ 2 2 ) , the test statistic t is computed as:

$$ t = \frac{\overline{x}_{1} - \overline{x}_{2}}{s_{p}\sqrt{\frac{1}{n_{1}} + \frac{1}{n_{2}}}} $$

$$ s_{p} = \sqrt{\frac{(n_{1} - 1)s_{1}^{2} + (n_{2} - 1)s_{2}^{2}}{n_{1} + n_{2} - 2}} $$

\(\bar{x}_{1}\) = Mean of first sample \(\bar{x}_{2}\) = Mean of second sample \(n_{1}\) = Sample size (i.e., number of observations) of first sample \(n_{2}\) = Sample size (i.e., number of observations) of second sample \(s_{1}\) = Standard deviation of first sample \(s_{2}\) = Standard deviation of second sample \(s_{p}\) = Pooled standard deviation

The calculated t value is then compared to the critical t value from the t distribution table with degrees of freedom df = n 1 + n 2 - 2 and chosen confidence level. If the calculated t value is greater than the critical t value, then we reject the null hypothesis.

Note that this form of the independent samples t test statistic assumes equal variances.

Because we assume equal population variances, it is OK to "pool" the sample variances ( s p ). However, if this assumption is violated, the pooled variance estimate may not be accurate, which would affect the accuracy of our test statistic (and hence, the p-value).

Equal variances not assumed

When the two independent samples are assumed to be drawn from populations with unequal variances (i.e., σ 1 2  ≠ σ 2 2 ), the test statistic t is computed as:

$$ t = \frac{\overline{x}_{1} - \overline{x}_{2}}{\sqrt{\frac{s_{1}^{2}}{n_{1}} + \frac{s_{2}^{2}}{n_{2}}}} $$

\(\bar{x}_{1}\) = Mean of first sample \(\bar{x}_{2}\) = Mean of second sample \(n_{1}\) = Sample size (i.e., number of observations) of first sample \(n_{2}\) = Sample size (i.e., number of observations) of second sample \(s_{1}\) = Standard deviation of first sample \(s_{2}\) = Standard deviation of second sample

The calculated t value is then compared to the critical t value from the t distribution table with degrees of freedom

$$ df = \frac{ \left ( \frac{s_{1}^2}{n_{1}} + \frac{s_{2}^2}{n_{2}} \right ) ^{2} }{ \frac{1}{n_{1}-1} \left ( \frac{s_{1}^2}{n_{1}} \right ) ^{2} + \frac{1}{n_{2}-1} \left ( \frac{s_{2}^2}{n_{2}} \right ) ^{2}} $$

and chosen confidence level. If the calculated t value > critical t value, then we reject the null hypothesis.

Note that this form of the independent samples t test statistic does not assume equal variances. This is why both the denominator of the test statistic and the degrees of freedom of the critical value of  t are different than the equal variances form of the test statistic.

Data Set-Up

Your data should include two variables (represented in columns) that will be used in the analysis. The independent variable should be categorical and include exactly two groups. (Note that SPSS restricts categorical indicators to numeric or short string values only.) The dependent variable should be continuous (i.e., interval or ratio). SPSS can only make use of cases that have nonmissing values for the independent and the dependent variables, so if a case has a missing value for either variable, it cannot be included in the test.

The number of rows in the dataset should correspond to the number of subjects in the study. Each row of the dataset should represent a unique subject, person, or unit, and all of the measurements taken on that person or unit should appear in that row.

Run an Independent Samples t Test

To run an Independent Samples t Test in SPSS, click  Analyze > Compare Means > Independent-Samples T Test .

The Independent-Samples T Test window opens where you will specify the variables to be used in the analysis. All of the variables in your dataset appear in the list on the left side. Move variables to the right by selecting them in the list and clicking the blue arrow buttons. You can move a variable(s) to either of two areas: Grouping Variable or Test Variable(s) .

A Test Variable(s): The dependent variable(s). This is the continuous variable whose means will be compared between the two groups. You may run multiple t tests simultaneously by selecting more than one test variable.

B Grouping Variable: The independent variable. The categories (or groups) of the independent variable will define which samples will be compared in the t test. The grouping variable must have at least two categories (groups); it may have more than two categories but a t test can only compare two groups, so you will need to specify which two groups to compare. You can also use a continuous variable by specifying a cut point to create two groups (i.e., values at or above the cut point and values below the cut point).

C Define Groups : Click Define Groups to define the category indicators (groups) to use in the t test. If the button is not active, make sure that you have already moved your independent variable to the right in the Grouping Variable field. You must define the categories of your grouping variable before you can run the Independent Samples t Test procedure.

You will not be able to run the Independent Samples t Test until the levels (or cut points) of the grouping variable have been defined. The OK and Paste buttons will be unclickable until the levels have been defined. You can tell if the levels of the grouping variable have not been defined by looking at the Grouping Variable box: if a variable appears in the box but has two question marks next to it, then the levels are not defined:

D Options: The Options section is where you can set your desired confidence level for the confidence interval for the mean difference, and specify how SPSS should handle missing values.

When finished, click OK to run the Independent Samples t Test, or click Paste to have the syntax corresponding to your specified settings written to an open syntax window. (If you do not have a syntax window open, a new window will open for you.)

Define Groups

Clicking the Define Groups button (C) opens the Define Groups window:

1 Use specified values: If your grouping variable is categorical, select Use specified values . Enter the values for the categories you wish to compare in the Group 1 and Group 2 fields. If your categories are numerically coded, you will enter the numeric codes. If your group variable is string, you will enter the exact text strings representing the two categories. If your grouping variable has more than two categories (e.g., takes on values of 1, 2, 3, 4), you can specify two of the categories to be compared (SPSS will disregard the other categories in this case).

Note that when computing the test statistic, SPSS will subtract the mean of the Group 2 from the mean of Group 1. Changing the order of the subtraction affects the sign of the results, but does not affect the magnitude of the results.

2 Cut point: If your grouping variable is numeric and continuous, you can designate a cut point for dichotomizing the variable. This will separate the cases into two categories based on the cut point. Specifically, for a given cut point x , the new categories will be:

• Group 1: All cases where grouping variable > x
• Group 2: All cases where grouping variable < x

Note that this implies that cases where the grouping variable is equal to the cut point itself will be included in the "greater than or equal to" category. (If you want your cut point to be included in a "less than or equal to" group, then you will need to use Recode into Different Variables or use DO IF syntax to create this grouping variable yourself.) Also note that while you can use cut points on any variable that has a numeric type, it may not make practical sense depending on the actual measurement level of the variable (e.g., nominal categorical variables coded numerically). Additionally, using a dichotomized variable created via a cut point generally reduces the power of the test compared to using a non-dichotomized variable.

Clicking the Options button (D) opens the Options window:

The Confidence Interval Percentage box allows you to specify the confidence level for a confidence interval. Note that this setting does NOT affect the test statistic or p-value or standard error; it only affects the computed upper and lower bounds of the confidence interval. You can enter any value between 1 and 99 in this box (although in practice, it only makes sense to enter numbers between 90 and 99).

The Missing Values section allows you to choose if cases should be excluded "analysis by analysis" (i.e. pairwise deletion) or excluded listwise. This setting is not relevant if you have only specified one dependent variable; it only matters if you are entering more than one dependent (continuous numeric) variable. In that case, excluding "analysis by analysis" will use all nonmissing values for a given variable. If you exclude "listwise", it will only use the cases with nonmissing values for all of the variables entered. Depending on the amount of missing data you have, listwise deletion could greatly reduce your sample size.

Example: Independent samples T test when variances are not equal

Problem statement.

In our sample dataset, students reported their typical time to run a mile, and whether or not they were an athlete. Suppose we want to know if the average time to run a mile is different for athletes versus non-athletes. This involves testing whether the sample means for mile time among athletes and non-athletes in your sample are statistically different (and by extension, inferring whether the means for mile times in the population are significantly different between these two groups). You can use an Independent Samples t Test to compare the mean mile time for athletes and non-athletes.

The hypotheses for this example can be expressed as:

H 0 : µ non-athlete  − µ athlete  = 0 ("the difference of the means is equal to zero") H 1 : µ non-athlete  − µ athlete  ≠ 0 ("the difference of the means is not equal to zero")

where µ athlete and µ non-athlete are the population means for athletes and non-athletes, respectively.

In the sample data, we will use two variables: Athlete and MileMinDur . The variable Athlete has values of either “0” (non-athlete) or "1" (athlete). It will function as the independent variable in this T test. The variable MileMinDur is a numeric duration variable (h:mm:ss), and it will function as the dependent variable. In SPSS, the first few rows of data look like this:

Before the Test

Before running the Independent Samples t Test, it is a good idea to look at descriptive statistics and graphs to get an idea of what to expect. Running Compare Means ( Analyze > Compare Means > Means ) to get descriptive statistics by group tells us that the standard deviation in mile time for non-athletes is about 2 minutes; for athletes, it is about 49 seconds. This corresponds to a variance of 14803 seconds for non-athletes, and a variance of 2447 seconds for athletes 1 . Running the Explore procedure ( Analyze > Descriptives > Explore ) to obtain a comparative boxplot yields the following graph:

If the variances were indeed equal, we would expect the total length of the boxplots to be about the same for both groups. However, from this boxplot, it is clear that the spread of observations for non-athletes is much greater than the spread of observations for athletes. Already, we can estimate that the variances for these two groups are quite different. It should not come as a surprise if we run the Independent Samples t Test and see that Levene's Test is significant.

Additionally, we should also decide on a significance level (typically denoted using the Greek letter alpha, α ) before we perform our hypothesis tests. The significance level is the threshold we use to decide whether a test result is significant. For this example, let's use α = 0.05.

1 When computing the variance of a duration variable (formatted as hh:mm:ss or mm:ss or mm:ss.s), SPSS converts the standard deviation value to seconds before squaring.

Running the Test

To run the Independent Samples t Test:

• Click  Analyze > Compare Means > Independent-Samples T Test .
• Move the variable Athlete to the Grouping Variable field, and move the variable MileMinDur to the Test Variable(s) area. Now Athlete is defined as the independent variable and MileMinDur is defined as the dependent variable.
• Click Define Groups , which opens a new window. Use specified values is selected by default. Since our grouping variable is numerically coded (0 = "Non-athlete", 1 = "Athlete"), type “0” in the first text box, and “1” in the second text box. This indicates that we will compare groups 0 and 1, which correspond to non-athletes and athletes, respectively. Click Continue when finished.
• Click OK to run the Independent Samples t Test. Output for the analysis will display in the Output Viewer window. 

Two sections (boxes) appear in the output: Group Statistics and Independent Samples Test . The first section, Group Statistics , provides basic information about the group comparisons, including the sample size ( n ), mean, standard deviation, and standard error for mile times by group. In this example, there are 166 athletes and 226 non-athletes. The mean mile time for athletes is 6 minutes 51 seconds, and the mean mile time for non-athletes is 9 minutes 6 seconds.

The second section, Independent Samples Test , displays the results most relevant to the Independent Samples t Test. There are two parts that provide different pieces of information: (A) Levene’s Test for Equality of Variances and (B) t-test for Equality of Means.

A Levene's Test for Equality of of Variances : This section has the test results for Levene's Test. From left to right:

• F is the test statistic of Levene's test
• Sig. is the p-value corresponding to this test statistic.

The p -value of Levene's test is printed as ".000" (but should be read as p < 0.001 -- i.e., p very small), so we we reject the null of Levene's test and conclude that the variance in mile time of athletes is significantly different than that of non-athletes. This tells us that we should look at the "Equal variances not assumed" row for the t test (and corresponding confidence interval) results . (If this test result had not been significant -- that is, if we had observed p > α -- then we would have used the "Equal variances assumed" output.)

B t-test for Equality of Means provides the results for the actual Independent Samples t Test. From left to right:

• t is the computed test statistic, using the formula for the equal-variances-assumed test statistic (first row of table) or the formula for the equal-variances-not-assumed test statistic (second row of table)
• df is the degrees of freedom, using the equal-variances-assumed degrees of freedom formula (first row of table) or the equal-variances-not-assumed degrees of freedom formula (second row of table)
• Sig (2-tailed) is the p-value corresponding to the given test statistic and degrees of freedom
• Mean Difference is the difference between the sample means, i.e. x 1  − x 2 ; it also corresponds to the numerator of the test statistic for that test
• Std. Error Difference is the standard error of the mean difference estimate; it also corresponds to the denominator of the test statistic for that test

Note that the mean difference is calculated by subtracting the mean of the second group from the mean of the first group. In this example, the mean mile time for athletes was subtracted from the mean mile time for non-athletes (9:06 minus 6:51 = 02:14). The sign of the mean difference corresponds to the sign of the t value. The positive t value in this example indicates that the mean mile time for the first group, non-athletes, is significantly greater than the mean for the second group, athletes.

The associated p value is printed as ".000"; double-clicking on the p-value will reveal the un-rounded number. SPSS rounds p-values to three decimal places, so any p-value too small to round up to .001 will print as .000. (In this particular example, the p-values are on the order of 10 -40 .)

C Confidence Interval of the Difference : This part of the t -test output complements the significance test results. Typically, if the CI for the mean difference contains 0 within the interval -- i.e., if the lower boundary of the CI is a negative number and the upper boundary of the CI is a positive number -- the results are not significant at the chosen significance level. In this example, the 95% CI is [01:57, 02:32], which does not contain zero; this agrees with the small p -value of the significance test.

Decision and Conclusions

Since p < .001 is less than our chosen significance level α = 0.05, we can reject the null hypothesis, and conclude that the that the mean mile time for athletes and non-athletes is significantly different.

Based on the results, we can state the following:

• There was a significant difference in mean mile time between non-athletes and athletes ( t 315.846 = 15.047, p < .001).
• The average mile time for athletes was 2 minutes and 14 seconds lower than the average mile time for non-athletes.
• << Previous: Paired Samples t Test
• Next: One-Way ANOVA >>
• Last Updated: Jul 10, 2024 11:08 AM
• URL: https://libguides.library.kent.edu/SPSS

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Dependent t-test for paired samples (cont...)

What hypothesis is being tested.

The dependent t-test is testing the null hypothesis that there are no differences between the means of the two related groups. If we get a statistically significant result, we can reject the null hypothesis that there are no differences between the means in the population and accept the alternative hypothesis that there are differences between the means in the population. We can express this as follows:

H 0 : µ 1 = µ 2

H A : µ 1 ≠ µ 2

What is the advantage of a dependent t-test over an independent t-test?

Before we answer this question, we need to point out that you cannot choose one test over the other unless your study design allows it. What we are discussing here is whether it is advantageous to design a study that uses one set of participants whom are measured twice or two separate groups of participants measured once each. The major advantage of choosing a repeated-measures design (and therefore, running a dependent t-test) is that you get to eliminate the individual differences that occur between participants – the concept that no two people are the same – and this increases the power of the test. What this means is that if you are more likely to detect a (statistically significant) difference, if one does exist, using the dependent t-test versus the independent t-test.

Can the dependent t-test be used to compare different participants?

Yes, but this does not happen very often. You can use the dependent t-test instead of using the usual independent t-test when each participant in one of the independent groups is closely related to another participant in the other group on many individual characteristics. This approach is called a "matched-pairs" design. The reason we might want to do this is that the major advantage of running a within-subject (repeated-measures) design is that you get to eliminate between-groups variation from the equation (each individual is unique and will react slightly differently than someone else), thereby increasing the power of the test. Hence, the reason why we use the same participants – we expect them to react in the same way as they are, after all, the same person. The most obvious case of when a "matched-pairs" design might be implemented is when using identical twins. Effectively, you are choosing parameters to match your participants on, which you believe will result in each pair of participants reacting in a similar way.

How do I report the result of a dependent t-test?

You need to report the test as follows:

where df is N – 1, where N = number of participants.

Should I report confidence levels?

Confidence intervals (CI) are a useful statistic to include because they indicate the direction and size of a result. It is common to report 95% confidence intervals, which you will most often see reported as 95% CI. Programmes such as SPSS Statistics will automatically calculate these confidence intervals for you; otherwise, you need to calculate them by hand. You will want to report the mean and 95% confidence interval for the difference between the two related groups.

If you wish to run a dependent t-test in SPSS Statistics, you can find out how to do this in our Dependent T-Test guide.

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Statistics By Jim

Making statistics intuitive

How t-Tests Work: t-Values, t-Distributions, and Probabilities

By Jim Frost 12 Comments

T-tests are statistical hypothesis tests that you use to analyze one or two sample means. Depending on the t-test that you use, you can compare a sample mean to a hypothesized value, the means of two independent samples, or the difference between paired samples. In this post, I show you how t-tests use t-values and t-distributions to calculate probabilities and test hypotheses.

As usual, I’ll provide clear explanations of t-values and t-distributions using concepts and graphs rather than formulas! If you need a primer on the basics, read my hypothesis testing overview .

What Are t-Values?

The term “t-test” refers to the fact that these hypothesis tests use t-values to evaluate your sample data. T-values are a type of test statistic. Hypothesis tests use the test statistic that is calculated from your sample to compare your sample to the null hypothesis. If the test statistic is extreme enough, this indicates that your data are so incompatible with the null hypothesis that you can reject the null. Learn more about Test Statistics .

Don’t worry. I find these technical definitions of statistical terms are easier to explain with graphs, and we’ll get to that!

When you analyze your data with any t-test, the procedure reduces your entire sample to a single value, the t-value. These calculations factor in your sample size and the variation in your data. Then, the t-test compares your sample means(s) to the null hypothesis condition in the following manner:

• If the sample data equals the null hypothesis precisely, the t-test produces a t-value of 0.
• As the sample data become progressively dissimilar from the null hypothesis, the absolute value of the t-value increases.

Read the companion post where I explain how t-tests calculate t-values .

The tricky thing about t-values is that they are a unitless statistic, which makes them difficult to interpret on their own. Imagine that we performed a t-test, and it produced a t-value of 2. What does this t-value mean exactly? We know that the sample mean doesn’t equal the null hypothesis value because this t-value doesn’t equal zero. However, we don’t know how exceptional our value is if the null hypothesis is correct.

To be able to interpret individual t-values, we have to place them in a larger context. T-distributions provide this broader context so we can determine the unusualness of an individual t-value.

What Are t-Distributions?

A single t-test produces a single t-value. Now, imagine the following process. First, let’s assume that the null hypothesis is true for the population. Now, suppose we repeat our study many times by drawing many random samples of the same size from this population. Next, we perform t-tests on all of the samples and plot the distribution of the t-values. This distribution is known as a sampling distribution, which is a type of probability distribution.

Related posts : Sampling Distributions and Understanding Probability Distributions

If we follow this procedure, we produce a graph that displays the distribution of t-values that we obtain from a population where the null hypothesis is true. We use sampling distributions to calculate probabilities for how unusual our sample statistic is if the null hypothesis is true.

Luckily, we don’t need to go through the hassle of collecting numerous random samples to create this graph! Statisticians understand the properties of t-distributions so we can estimate the sampling distribution using the t-distribution and our sample size.

The degrees of freedom (DF) for the statistical design define the t-distribution for a particular study. The DF are closely related to the sample size. For t-tests, there is a different t-distribution for each sample size.

Related posts : Degrees of Freedom in Statistics and T Distribution: Definition and Uses .

Use the t-Distribution to Compare Your Sample Results to the Null Hypothesis

T-distributions assume that the null hypothesis is correct for the population from which you draw your random samples. To evaluate how compatible your sample data are with the null hypothesis, place your study’s t-value in the t-distribution and determine how unusual it is.

The sampling distribution below displays a t-distribution with 20 degrees of freedom, which equates to a sample size of 21 for a 1-sample t-test. The t-distribution centers on zero because it assumes that the null hypothesis is true. When the null is true, your study is most likely to obtain a t-value near zero and less liable to produce t-values further from zero in either direction.

On the graph, I’ve displayed the t-value of 2 from our hypothetical study to see how our sample data compares to the null hypothesis. Under the assumption that the null is true, the t-distribution indicates that our t-value is not the most likely value. However, there still appears to be a realistic chance of observing t-values from -2 to +2.

We know that our t-value of 2 is rare when the null hypothesis is true. How rare is it exactly? Our final goal is to evaluate whether our sample t-value is so rare that it justifies rejecting the null hypothesis for the entire population based on our sample data. To proceed, we need to quantify the probability of observing our t-value.

Related post : What are Critical Values?

t-Tests Use t-Values and t-Distributions to Calculate Probabilities

Hypothesis tests work by taking the observed test statistic from a sample and using the sampling distribution to calculate the probability of obtaining that test statistic if the null hypothesis is correct. In the context of how t-tests work, you assess the likelihood of a t-value using the t-distribution. If a t-value is sufficiently improbable when the null hypothesis is true, you can reject the null hypothesis.

I have two crucial points to explain before we calculate the probability linked to our t-value of 2.

Because I’m showing the results of a two-tailed test, we’ll use the t-values of +2 and -2. Two-tailed tests allow you to assess whether the sample mean is greater than or less than the target value in a 1-sample t-test. A one-tailed hypothesis test can only determine statistical significance for one or the other.

Additionally, it is possible to calculate a probability only for a range of t-values. On a probability distribution plot, probabilities are represented by the shaded area under a distribution curve. Without a range of values, there is no area under the curve and, hence, no probability.

Related posts : One-Tailed and Two-Tailed Tests Explained and T-Distribution Table of Critical Values

t-Test Results for Our Hypothetical Study

Considering these points, the graph below finds the probability associated with t-values less than -2 and greater than +2 using the area under the curve. This graph is specific to our t-test design (1-sample t-test with N = 21).

The probability distribution plot indicates that each of the two shaded regions has a probability of 0.02963—for a total of 0.05926. This graph shows that t-values fall within these areas almost 6% of the time when the null hypothesis is true.

There is a chance that you’ve heard of this type of probability before—it’s the P value! While the likelihood of t-values falling within these regions seems small, it’s not quite unlikely enough to justify rejecting the null under the standard significance level of 0.05.

Learn how to interpret the P value correctly and avoid a common mistake!

Related posts : How to Find the P value: Process and Calculations and Types of Errors in Hypothesis Testing

t-Distributions and Sample Size

The sample size for a t-test determines the degrees of freedom (DF) for that test, which specifies the t-distribution. The overall effect is that as the sample size decreases, the tails of the t-distribution become thicker. Thicker tails indicate that t-values are more likely to be far from zero even when the null hypothesis is correct. The changing shapes are how t-distributions factor in the greater uncertainty when you have a smaller sample.

You can see this effect in the probability distribution plot below that displays t-distributions for 5 and 30 DF.

Sample means from smaller samples tend to be less precise. In other words, with a smaller sample, it’s less surprising to have an extreme t-value, which affects the probabilities and p-values. A t-value of 2 has a P value of 10.2% and 5.4% for 5 and 30 DF, respectively. Use larger samples!

Click here for step-by-step instructions for how to do t-tests in Excel !

If you like this approach and want to learn about other hypothesis tests, read my posts about:

• How the F-test Works in ANOVA .
• How Chi-Squared Tests of Independence Work

To see an alternative to traditional hypothesis testing that does not use probability distributions and test statistics, learn about bootstrapping in statistics !

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Reader Interactions

May 25, 2021 at 10:42 pm

what statistical tools, is recommended for measuring the level of satisfaction

May 26, 2021 at 3:55 pm

Hi McKienze,

The correct analysis depends on the nature of the data you have and what you want to learn. You don’t provide enough information to be able to answer the question. However, read my hypothesis testing overview to learn about the options.

August 23, 2020 at 1:33 am

Hi Jim, I want to ask about standardizing data before the t test.. For example I have USD prices of a big Mac across the world and this varies by quite a bit. Doing the t-test here would be misleading since some countries would have a higher mean… Should the approach be standardizing all the usd values? Or perhaps even local values?

August 24, 2020 at 12:37 am

Yes, that makes complete sense. I don’t know what method is best. If you can find a common scale to use for all prices, I’d do that. You’re basically using a data transformation before analysis, which is totally acceptable when you have a good reason.

April 3, 2020 at 4:47 am

Hey Jim. Your blog is one of the only few ones where everything is explained in a simple and well structured manner, in a way that both an absolute beginner and a geek can equally benefit from your writing. Both this article as well as your article on one tailed and two tailed hypothesis tests have been super helpful. Thank you for this post

March 6, 2020 at 11:04 am

Thank you, Jim, for sharing your knowledge with us.

I have a 2 part question. I am testing the difference in walking distance within a busy environment compared with a simple environment. I am also testing walking time within the 2 environments. I am using the same individuals for both scenarios. I was planning to do a paired ttest for distance difference between busy and simple environments and a 2nd paired ttest for time difference between the environments.

My question(s) for you is: 1. Do you feel that a paired ttest is the best choice for these? 2. Do you feel that, because there are 2 tests, I should do a bonferroni correction or do you believe that because the data is completely different (distance as opposed to time), it is okay not to do a multiple comparison test?

August 13, 2019 at 12:43 pm

thank you very eye opening on the use of two or one tailed test

April 19, 2019 at 3:49 pm

Hi Mr. Frost,

Thanks for the breakdown. I have a question … if I wanted to run a test to show that the medical professionals could use more training with data set consisting of questions which in your opinion would be my best route?

January 14, 2019 at 2:22 pm

Hello Jim, I find this statement in this excellent write up contradicting : 1)This graph shows that t-values fall within these areas almost 6% of the time when the null hypothesis is true I mean if this is true the t-value =0 hypothesis is rejected.

January 14, 2019 at 2:51 pm

I can see how that statement sounds contradictory, but I can assure that it is quite accurate. It’s often forgotten but the underlying assumption for the calculations surrounding hypothesis testing, significance levels, and p-values is that the null hypothesis is true.

So, the probabilities shown in the graph that you refer to are based on the assumption that the null hypothesis is true. Further, t-values for this study design have a 6% chance of falling in those critical areas assuming the null is true (a false positive).

Significance levels are defined as the maximum acceptable probability of a false positive. Usually, we set that as 5%. In the example, there’s a large probability of a false positive (6%), so we fail to reject the null hypothesis. In other words, we fail to reject the null because false positives will happen too frequently–where the significance level defines the cutoff point for too frequently.

Keep in mind that when you have statistically significant results, you’re really saying that the results you obtained are improbable enough assuming that the null is true that you can reject the notion that the null is true. But, the math and probabilities are all based on the assumption that the null is true because you need to determine how unlikely your results are under the null hypothesis.

Even the p-value is defined in terms of assuming the null hypothesis is true. You can read about that in my post about interpreting p-values correctly .

I hope this clarifies things!

November 9, 2018 at 2:36 am

Jim …I was involved in in a free SAT/ACT tutoring program that I need to analyze for effectiveness .

I have pre test scores of a number of students and the post test scores after they were tutored (treatment ).

Glenn dowell

November 9, 2018 at 9:05 am

It sounds like you need to perform a paired t-test assuming.

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